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The Shadow Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +9 578.21₸

Invest 14 746.01₸

Average return 24 324.22₸

ROI +65.0%

Chance of profit 62%

With float: invest at least 35 204.20 ₸, profit at most −10 879.98 ₸

float premium: at least 20 262 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0775

7 959.00 ₸

at 1 137.00

Steam

×2

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0066

4 976.06 ₸

at 2 488.03

Steam

×1

P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0775

1 810.94 ₸

at 1 810.94

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 14 746.01 ₸ +9 578.21 (+65.0%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

7 959.00 ₸

at 1 137.00

Steam

×1

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

2 488.03 ₸

at 2 488.03

Steam

×2

P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

3 621.89 ₸

at 1 810.94

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 14 068.92 ₸ +8 709.01 (+61.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −4 474 ₸

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1662

732.59 ₸

at 732.59

Steam

×2

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

2 274.00 ₸

at 1 137.00

Steam

×1

P90 | Virus

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1662

1 041.95 ₸

at 1 041.95

Steam

×6

P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

10 865.66 ₸

at 1 810.94

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 14 914.20 ₸ +132.22 (+0.9%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 62%
Losing outcome 38%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Frontside Misty

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

54 873.27 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

G3SG1 | Flux

Factory New

float up to 0.052941

21 230.55 ₸ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

float up to 0.037646

13 149.53 ₸ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

AUG | Bengal Tiger

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.103529

11 391.92 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

AWP | Corticera

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074117

9 917.62 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074117

8 428.62 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

Nova | Bloomstick

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.103529

18 136.18 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 only The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 6 The Wildfire Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +5 826.60 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +8 557.48 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 7 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2836980 · The Glove Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 10 597.10₸ · invest 15 864.78₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Gila (Factory New) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077711 instead of 0.077582; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.006747 instead of 0.006634
Craft 2841640 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 10 559.26₸ · invest 15 858.81₸
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Factory New) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078708 instead of 0.077582; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007619 instead of 0.006634
Craft 2838967 · The Huntsman Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 10 535.20₸ · invest 16 774.46₸
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Tatter (Factory New) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078488 instead of 0.077582; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007427 instead of 0.006634
Craft 2843625 · The Radiant Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 10 138.44₸ · invest 15 715.58₸
sells slowly rare inputs

USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Factory New) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078708 instead of 0.077582; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007619 instead of 0.006634
Craft 2825513 · The Chroma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 9 756.86₸ · invest 15 395.92₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Serenity (Factory New) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078488 instead of 0.077582; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007427 instead of 0.006634
Craft 2819418 · The Boreal Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 9 688.39₸ · invest 14 822.18₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Glockingbird (Factory New) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078827 instead of 0.077582; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007723 instead of 0.006634
Craft 2844654 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 9 624.69₸ · invest 14 964.33₸
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Teclu Burner (Factory New) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078795 instead of 0.077582; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.007696 instead of 0.006634

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

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How to build