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The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

StatTrak™ Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −191 843.36₸

Invest at least 516 916.82₸

Average return 325 073.45₸

ROI −37.1%

Chance of profit 45%

With float: invest at least 516 916.82 ₸, profit at most −191 843.36 ₸

float premium: at least 299 625 ₸

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −163 083.99 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0798

35 832.03 ₸

at 11 944.01

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0086

148 462.60 ₸

at 24 743.77

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Afterimage

Factory New

buy 0.0200–0.0261

29 303.38 ₸

at 29 303.38

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 213 598.00 ₸ +111 475.45 (+52.2%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0791

35 832.03 ₸

at 11 944.01

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0080

123 718.83 ₸

at 24 743.77

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Afterimage

Factory New

buy 0.0200–0.0257

58 606.76 ₸

at 29 303.38

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 218 157.62 ₸ +79 614.54 (+36.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −9 171 ₸

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0785

35 832.03 ₸

at 11 944.01

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0074

98 975.07 ₸

at 24 743.77

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Afterimage

Factory New

buy 0.0200–0.0253

87 910.13 ₸

at 29 303.38

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 222 717.23 ₸ +47 753.68 (+21.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −44 237 ₸

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0780

35 832.03 ₸

at 11 944.01

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0070

74 231.30 ₸

at 24 743.77

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Afterimage

Factory New

buy 0.0200–0.0250

117 213.51 ₸

at 29 303.38

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 227 276.84 ₸ +15 892.83 (+7.0%)

What you get 3 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 55%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

622 583.78 ₸ 45.00%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P2000 | Fire Elemental

Factory New

float up to 0.018461

108 809.90 ₸ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ M4A4 | X-Ray

Factory New

float up to 0.009230

91 266.45 ₸ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

Variant 2 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Wildfire Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +101 109.53 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +109 578.19 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Vanguard Collection and The eSports 2013 Winter Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2817105 · The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 118 834.72₸ · invest 227 442.53₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ USP-S | Serum (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Afterimage (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.078314 instead of 0.079873; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.007274 instead of 0.008638
Craft 2817470 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 117 616.22₸ · invest 209 270.33₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Undertow (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Afterimage (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077737 instead of 0.079873; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.006770 instead of 0.008638
Craft 2839110 · The Huntsman Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 114 547.71₸ · invest 229 651.43₸
marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ USP-S | Caiman (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ FAMAS | Afterimage (Factory New); StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079359 instead of 0.079873; StatTrak™ SCAR-20 | Cardiac (Factory New): float at most 0.008189 instead of 0.008638

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 3 outcomes

More

How to build