The Clutch Collection + The CS20 Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit +19 776.20₴

Invest 16 984.81₴

Average return 36 761.01₴

ROI +116.4%

Chance of profit 60%

With float: invest at least 39 599.45 ₴, profit at most −2 838.44 ₴

float premium: at least 22 343 ₴

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 3.1% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −718.56 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×4

MP7 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0082

14 206.15 ₴

at 3 551.54

Steam

×1

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0082

2 778.65 ₴

at 2 778.65

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 16 984.81 ₴ +19 776.20 (+116.4%)

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 9.2% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 532 ₴

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×2

MP7 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0074

7 103.08 ₴

at 3 551.54

Steam

×3

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0074

8 335.96 ₴

at 2 778.65

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 15 439.04 ₴ +10 097.67 (+65.4%)

The gain is understated: 2 outcomes have no price, that is 12.3% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −7 326 ₴

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

MP7 | Bloodsport

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0070

3 551.54 ₴

at 3 551.54

Steam

×4

FAMAS | Commemoration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0070

11 114.62 ₴

at 2 778.65

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 14 666.16 ₴ +5 258.40 (+35.9%)

What you get 37 outcomes

Profitable outcome 60%
Losing outcome 37%
Above the Steam cap 3%

Order

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

25 007.53 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

46 841.03 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Overprint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

23 376.56 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Arboreal

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8 658.04 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Turtle

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

36 570.17 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | POW!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

33 737.47 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Polygon

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

43 698.04 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Transport

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

16 407.90 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

63 836.44 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | King Snake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

92 144.36 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Overtake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

24 659.61 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

10 400.59 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

71 127.70 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Buckshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13 748.63 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

53 965.26 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Mogul

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

36 754.94 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Omega

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

55 815.03 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Vice

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

260 702.38 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

92 730.49 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

30 881.41 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Emerald

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

11 114.04 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Hydra Gloves | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

24 051.56 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Mangrove

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 351.16 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Rattler

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7 260.25 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

12 632.36 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

9 242.57 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

15 370.46 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

12 946.82 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Classic Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

21 217.24 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Classic Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6 935.13 ₴ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

16 847.39 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Classic Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

79 680.13 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

10 462.70 ₴ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

16 372.93 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Classic Knife | Night Stripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Classic Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Classic Knife

no wear

10 053.24 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Clutch Collection + The CS20 Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 3 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 4 only The Clutch Collection Variant 5 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The CS20 Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Clutch Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +17 490.03 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +19 430.64 ₴ historical median

3% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The CS20 Collection and The Clutch Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 15 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2847339 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 20 635.05₴ · invest 16 667.15₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New)
Craft 2847342 · The Clutch Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 20 635.05₴ · invest 16 667.15₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Neo-Noir (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New)
Craft 2847357 · The Fracture Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 19 818.48₴ · invest 16 680.02₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008911 instead of 0.008286
Craft 2847358 · The Clutch Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 19 818.48₴ · invest 16 680.02₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AK-47 | Legion of Anubis (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008911 instead of 0.008286
Craft 2847381 · The Phoenix Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 19 816.56₴ · invest 19 207.50₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AUG | Chameleon (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New)
Craft 2847382 · The Clutch Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 19 816.56₴ · invest 19 207.50₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AUG | Chameleon (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New)
Craft 2847369 · The Huntsman Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 19 777.81₴ · invest 17 691.81₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008911 instead of 0.008286
Craft 2847370 · The Clutch Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit 19 777.81₴ · invest 17 691.81₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.008911 instead of 0.008286
Craft 2847144 · The CS20 Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 19 776.21₴ · invest 16 984.81₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2847407 · The Vanguard Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 19 606.01₴ · invest 19 418.05₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.004650 instead of 0.008286
Craft 2847408 · The Clutch Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 19 606.01₴ · invest 19 418.05₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.004650 instead of 0.008286
Craft 2847393 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 19 389.80₴ · invest 19 634.26₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.007807 instead of 0.008286
Craft 2847394 · The Clutch Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 19 389.80₴ · invest 19 634.26₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.007807 instead of 0.008286
Craft 2847411 · The Winter Offensive Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 19 298.93₴ · invest 19 725.12₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.007807 instead of 0.008286
Craft 2847412 · The Clutch Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 19 298.93₴ · invest 19 725.12₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New) instead of FAMAS | Commemoration (Factory New); MP7 | Bloodsport (Factory New): float at most 0.007807 instead of 0.008286

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Clutch Collection + The CS20 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 37 outcomes

More

How to build