The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −37 552.97₴

Invest at least 84 274.86₴

Average return 46 721.89₴

ROI −44.6%

Chance of profit 5%

With float: invest at least 84 274.86 ₴, profit at most −37 552.97 ₴

float premium: at least 42 751 ₴

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 746 ₴

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 2.7% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −22 670.68 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

8% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×2

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0122

10 559.04 ₴

at 5 279.52

Steam

×3

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0122

26 964.32 ₴

at 8 988.11

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 37 523.37 ₴ +9 198.52 (+24.5%)

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 1.8% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −8 170 ₴

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 1 contract · medium (by listings)

×3

MP9 | Starlight Protector

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0117

15 838.57 ₴

at 5 279.52

Steam

×2

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0117

17 976.22 ₴

at 8 988.11

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 33 814.78 ₴ +2 206.24 (+6.5%)

What you get 52 outcomes

Profitable outcome 52%
Losing outcome 37%
About break-even 8%
Above the Steam cap 3%

Order

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Crane

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

59 630.27 ₴ 2.73%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Brocade Flowers

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

91 675.37 ₴ 2.73%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Dragon Fists

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

77 190.05 ₴ 2.73%

price without deals

Steam

★ Driver Gloves | Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 2.73%

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Hand Sweaters

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

67 762.37 ₴ 2.73%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

★ Driver Gloves | Plum Quill

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

43 292.62 ₴ 2.73%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Seigaiha

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

53 944.61 ₴ 2.73%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Wave Chaser

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

76 530.53 ₴ 2.73%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Lime Polycam

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

83 155.07 ₴ 2.73%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Cloud Chaser

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

65 175.59 ₴ 2.73%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Blackbook

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

67 378.08 ₴ 2.73%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

about break-even

★ Specialist Gloves | Chocolate Chesterfield

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

36 697.46 ₴ 2.73%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Specialist Gloves | Pillow Punchers

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

200 021.65 ₴ 2.73%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Sunburst

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

63 879.72 ₴ 2.73%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Big Swell

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

60 347.66 ₴ 2.73%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Violet Beadwork

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

72 336.82 ₴ 2.73%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Frosty

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

61 088.07 ₴ 2.73%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

★ Sport Gloves | Blaze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

38 879.71 ₴ 2.73%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Sport Gloves | Creme Pinstripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

33 036.83 ₴ 2.73%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Red Racer

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

62 485.37 ₴ 2.73%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Ultra Violent

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

189 773.35 ₴ 2.73%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Occult

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

76 572.78 ₴ 2.73%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

65 816.11 ₴ 1.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Butterfly Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.006486

35 362.10 ₴ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

75 258.48 ₴ 1.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Autotronic

Factory New

float up to 0.011486

71 925.63 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Butterfly Knife | Black Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

55 964.81 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Butterfly Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

33 554.97 ₴ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

11 861.03 ₴ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.006486

4 652.67 ₴ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.008783

8 132.96 ₴ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Autotronic

Factory New

float up to 0.011486

8 520.91 ₴ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Black Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

5 518.94 ₴ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

4 046.27 ₴ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

5 169.63 ₴ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.006486

2 526.38 ₴ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

5 844.27 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Autotronic

Factory New

float up to 0.011486

5 080.20 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Shadow Daggers | Black Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

3 498.68 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Shadow Daggers | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

2 336.85 ₴ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

9 598.21 ₴ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.006486

3 956.31 ₴ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

8 040.06 ₴ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Autotronic

Factory New

float up to 0.011486

8 100.59 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Black Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

4 621.40 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Bowie Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

3 274.00 ₴ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Gamma Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

10 558.54 ₴ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number 5 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Freehand

Factory New

float up to 0.006486

3 829.13 ₴ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Lore

Factory New

float up to 0.008783

7 191.04 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Autotronic

Factory New

float up to 0.011486

12 124.31 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Black Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

6 453.55 ₴ 1.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Bright Water

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

3 630.90 ₴ 1.33%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

MP9 | Starlight Protector (Factory New) × 2 18% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 10 559.04 → 23 335.49 ₴

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned (Factory New) × 3 18% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 26 964.32 → 60 939.37 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.013513414

outcomes come out up to 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.006486, 0.013513, 0.011486, 0.013513, 0.006756, 0.001081, 0.006486, 0.008783, 0.011486, 0.013513, 0.006756, 0.001081, 0.006486, 0.013513, 0.011486, 0.013513, 0.006756, 0.001081, 0.006486, 0.013513, 0.011486, 0.013513, 0.006756, 0.001081, 0.006486, 0.008783, 0.011486, 0.013513, 0.006756

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 5 The Clutch Collection instead of The Dreams & Nightmares Collection Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +8 427.14 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +8 957.53 ₴ historical median

5% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Dreams & Nightmares Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 52 outcomes

More

How to build