The Revolution Collection + The Falchion Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −256 840.69₸

Invest at least 618 240.48₸

Average return 361 399.79₸

ROI −41.5%

Chance of profit 13%

With float: invest at least 618 240.48 ₸, profit at most −256 840.69 ₸

float premium: at least 333 818 ₸

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −54 969 ₸

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 1.5% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −115 401.86 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

6% of lots fit ≈ enough for 1 contract · medium (by listings)

×4

AK-47 | Head Shot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0135

181 427.20 ₸

at 45 356.80

Steam

×1

AWP | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0135

87 576.47 ₸

at 87 576.47

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 269 003.67 ₸ +92 396.12 (+34.4%)

What you get 37 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 55%
About break-even 3%
Above the Steam cap 2%

Order

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

252 280.86 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

472 541.36 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Overprint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

235 827.32 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Arboreal

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

87 343.99 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Turtle

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

368 926.93 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | POW!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

340 350.12 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Polygon

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

440 834.32 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Transport

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

165 526.12 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

643 994.40 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | King Snake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

929 570.16 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Overtake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

248 770.96 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

104 923.14 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

717 550.02 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Buckshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

138 698.84 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

544 412.02 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Mogul

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

370 790.99 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Omega

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

563 072.83 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Vice

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 630 016.18 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

935 483.14 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

about break-even

★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

311 537.63 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Emerald

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

112 120.58 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

242 636.79 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Mangrove

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

74 159.90 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Rattler

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

73 242.85 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

108 010.68 ₸ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

111 565.08 ₸ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

179 733.28 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

108 507.92 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

185 938.47 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

135 634.90 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

124 048.21 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Falchion Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Night

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

184 599.97 ₸ 1.54%

sell on Market.CSGO pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

65 732.25 ₸ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

81 999.54 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Falchion Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

83 443.57 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Falchion Knife

no wear

57 367.49 ₸ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Revolution Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Revolution Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Clutch Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Revolution Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +70 975.41 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +88 795.99 ₸ historical median

3% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Revolution Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2847738 · The Falchion Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 92 396.13₸ · invest 269 003.67₸
profit on prices without salesat least −54 969 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Revolution Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 37 outcomes

More

How to build