The Recoil Collection + The Gallery Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −19 994.36₴

Invest at least 50 889.31₴

Average return 30 894.95₴

ROI −39.3%

Chance of profit 13%

With float: invest at least 50 889.31 ₴, profit at most −19 994.36 ₴

float premium: at least 28 425 ₴

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −6 348 ₴

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 3.3% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −6 339.03 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×4

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0095

15 851.85 ₴

at 3 962.96

Steam

×1

Glock-18 | Gold Toof

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0095

6 203.55 ₴

at 6 203.55

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 22 055.41 ₴ +8 839.54 (+40.1%)

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 2.5% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −11 855 ₴

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×3

AWP | Chromatic Aberration

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0096

11 888.89 ₴

at 3 962.96

Steam

×2

Glock-18 | Gold Toof

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0096

12 407.11 ₴

at 6 203.55

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 24 296.00 ₴ +696.00 (+2.9%)

What you get 37 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 42%
Above the Steam cap 3%

Order

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Desert Shamagh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

12 073.76 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | CAUTION!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

44 000.11 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Giraffe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

11 956.84 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Constrictor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

14 385.54 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Blood Pressure

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

43 119.70 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Finish Line

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

50 261.44 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | 3rd Commando Company

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

17 327.82 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Smoke Out

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

47 595.00 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Snow Leopard

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

78 342.41 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Queen Jaguar

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

44 908.09 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Rezan the Red

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

49 562.90 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Black Tie

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

48 068.12 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Field Agent

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

37 590.13 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

65 548.67 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Lt. Commander

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

43 438.41 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Tiger Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

40 588.66 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Scarlet Shamagh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

44 359.86 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Big Game

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

29 216.65 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Nocts

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

120 935.79 ₴ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Sport Gloves | Slingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Needle Point

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

10 103.78 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Jade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

60 569.82 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Yellow-banded

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

18 607.76 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Broken Fang Gloves | Unhinged

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

24 050.17 ₴ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

8 066.88 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

6 651.35 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

7 008.72 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

4 878.46 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

8 782.09 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 648.18 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5 967.42 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Kukri Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

30 057.47 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5 945.08 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

4 580.81 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Night Stripe

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 198.84 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Kukri Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8 736.68 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Kukri Knife

no wear

4 361.10 ₴ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Recoil Collection + The Gallery Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Gallery Collection Variant 4 The Clutch Collection instead of The Gallery Collection Variant 5 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Gallery Collection Variant 6 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The Gallery Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +7 524.44 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +8 697.26 ₴ historical median

3% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Gallery Collection and The Recoil Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2848209 · The Recoil Collection + The Prisma 2 Collection · profit 9 626.32₴ · invest 22 145.88₴
profit on prices without salesat least −5 553 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.010063 instead of 0.009539
Craft 2848211 · The Prisma 2 Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 9 626.32₴ · invest 22 145.88₴
profit on prices without salesat least −5 553 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Glock-18 | Bullet Queen (Factory New) instead of Glock-18 | Gold Toof (Factory New); AWP | Chromatic Aberration (Factory New): float at most 0.010063 instead of 0.009539
Craft 2847842 · The Gallery Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 8 839.54₴ · invest 22 055.41₴
profit on prices without salesat least −6 348 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Recoil Collection + The Gallery Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 37 outcomes

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How to build