The Huntsman Collection + The Revolution Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Average profit +161 409.66₸

Invest 216 591.20₸

Average return 378 000.85₸

ROI +74.5%

Chance of profit 53%

With float: invest at least 505 029.56 ₸, profit at most −127 028.70 ₸

float premium: at least 279 739 ₸

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −9 043 ₸

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 4.6% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −42 699.28 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

3% of lots fit ≈ enough for 1 contract · medium (by listings)

×1

M4A4 | Desert-Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0124

35 164.00 ₸

at 35 164.00

Steam

×4

AK-47 | Head Shot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0124

181 427.20 ₸

at 45 356.80

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 216 591.20 ₸ +161 409.66 (+74.5%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 9.2% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −49 603 ₸

3% of lots fit ≈ enough for 1 contract · medium (by listings)

×2

M4A4 | Desert-Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0115

70 328.00 ₸

at 35 164.00

Steam

×3

AK-47 | Head Shot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0115

136 070.40 ₸

at 45 356.80

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 206 398.40 ₸ +122 134.56 (+59.2%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 13.8% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −90 164 ₸

3% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×3

M4A4 | Desert-Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0107

105 492.00 ₸

at 35 164.00

Steam

×2

AK-47 | Head Shot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0107

90 713.60 ₸

at 45 356.80

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 196 205.60 ₸ +82 859.52 (+42.2%)

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 18.5% of the chance

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −130 724 ₸

1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×4

M4A4 | Desert-Strike

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0100

140 656.00 ₸

at 35 164.00

Steam

×1

AK-47 | Head Shot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0100

45 356.80 ₸

at 45 356.80

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 186 012.80 ₸ +43 584.43 (+23.4%)

What you get 37 outcomes

Profitable outcome 49%
Losing outcome 36%
About break-even 10%
Above the Steam cap 5%

Order

about break-even

★ Hand Wraps | Duct Tape

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

252 280.86 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Cobalt Skulls

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

472 541.36 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Overprint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

235 827.32 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hand Wraps | Arboreal

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

87 343.99 ₸ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Turtle

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

368 926.93 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | POW!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

340 350.12 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Polygon

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

440 834.32 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Transport

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

165 526.12 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Imperial Plaid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

643 994.40 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | King Snake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

929 570.16 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

about break-even

★ Driver Gloves | Overtake

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

248 770.96 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Driver Gloves | Racing Green

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

104 923.14 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

717 550.02 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Specialist Gloves | Buckshot

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

138 698.84 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

544 412.02 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Mogul

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

370 790.99 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Omega

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

563 072.83 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Vice

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 630 016.18 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Amphibious

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

935 483.14 ₸ 3.33%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Bronze Morph

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

311 537.63 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Emerald

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

112 120.58 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

★ Hydra Gloves | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

242 636.79 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Mangrove

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

74 159.90 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Hydra Gloves | Rattler

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

73 242.85 ₸ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

136 054.83 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.013378

178 375.57 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Huntsman Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

284 881.69 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

235 962.19 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Huntsman Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

279 812.52 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

175 566.58 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Huntsman Knife | Boreal Forest

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Huntsman Knife | Crimson Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

524 306.10 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ Huntsman Knife | Night

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

631 782.76 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Huntsman Knife | Scorched

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Huntsman Knife | Safari Mesh

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

178 375.57 ₸ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Huntsman Knife | Urban Masked

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Huntsman Knife

no wear

67 816.09 ₸ 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Huntsman Collection + The Revolution Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Huntsman Collection Variant 3 The Operation Hydra Collection instead of The Huntsman Collection Variant 4 The Clutch Collection instead of The Huntsman Collection Variant 5 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The Huntsman Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Revolution Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +140 043.74 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +157 799.54 ₸ historical median

5% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Huntsman Collection and The Revolution Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 17 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2848183 · The Revolution Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 161 800.53₸ · invest 231 881.75₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AUG | Chameleon (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.011261 instead of 0.012446
Craft 2848184 · The Phoenix Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 161 800.53₸ · invest 231 881.75₸
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

AUG | Chameleon (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.011261 instead of 0.012446
Craft 2848037 · The Revolution Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit 161 409.66₸ · invest 216 591.20₸
profit on prices without salesat least −9 043 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2848307 · The Vanguard Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 159 676.49₸ · invest 234 005.79₸
profit on prices without salesat least −6 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear) instead of M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.006390 instead of 0.012446
Craft 2848308 · The Revolution Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 159 676.49₸ · invest 234 005.79₸
profit on prices without salesat least −6 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

AK-47 | Wasteland Rebel (Minimal Wear) instead of M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.006390 instead of 0.012446
Craft 2848293 · The Revolver Case Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 157 495.26₸ · invest 236 187.02₸
profit on prices without salesat least −2 187 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.010394 instead of 0.012446
Craft 2848294 · The Revolution Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 157 495.26₸ · invest 236 187.02₸
profit on prices without salesat least −2 187 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

R8 Revolver | Fade (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.010394 instead of 0.012446
Craft 2848311 · The Winter Offensive Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 156 578.64₸ · invest 237 103.64₸
profit on prices without salesat least −3 104 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.010394 instead of 0.012446
Craft 2848312 · The Revolution Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 156 578.64₸ · invest 237 103.64₸
profit on prices without salesat least −3 104 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.010394 instead of 0.012446
Craft 2848313 · The eSports 2013 Winter Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 148 959.81₸ · invest 244 722.47₸
profit on prices without salesat least −10 723 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.009213 instead of 0.012446
Craft 2848314 · The Revolution Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 148 959.81₸ · invest 244 722.47₸
profit on prices without salesat least −10 723 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | X-Ray (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.009213 instead of 0.012446
Craft 2848309 · The Wildfire Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 148 690.65₸ · invest 222 205.78₸
profit on prices without salesat least −13 550 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.012146 instead of 0.012446
Craft 2848310 · The Revolution Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 148 690.65₸ · invest 222 205.78₸
profit on prices without salesat least −13 550 ₸ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.012146 instead of 0.012446
Craft 2847241 · The Revolution Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit 147 959.56₸ · invest 243 970.40₸
profit on prices without salesat least −22 957 ₸ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.010858 instead of 0.012446
Craft 2847242 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 147 959.56₸ · invest 243 970.40₸
profit on prices without salesat least −22 957 ₸ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

MAC-10 | Neon Rider (Factory New) instead of M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.010858 instead of 0.012446
Craft 2847321 · The Revolution Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit 146 797.23₸ · invest 245 132.74₸
profit on prices without salesat least −24 119 ₸ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.006063 instead of 0.012446
Craft 2847322 · The Chroma Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 146 797.23₸ · invest 245 132.74₸
profit on prices without salesat least −24 119 ₸ marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

AWP | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of M4A4 | Desert-Strike (Factory New); AK-47 | Head Shot (Factory New): float at most 0.006063 instead of 0.012446

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Huntsman Collection + The Revolution Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 37 outcomes

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How to build