The Prisma Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection

Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −50 168.21₴

Invest at least 91 155.39₴

Average return 40 987.18₴

ROI −55.0%

Chance of profit 5%

With float: invest at least 91 155.39 ₴, profit at most −50 168.21 ₴

float premium: at least 52 689 ₴

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −6 591 ₴

The gain is understated: 3 outcomes have no price, that is 2.5% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −29 131.54 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈2% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×4

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0100

18 188.19 ₴

at 4 547.05

Steam

×1

Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0100

22 287.18 ₴

at 22 287.18

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 40 475.38 ₴ +511.80 (+1.3%)

What you get 52 outcomes

Profitable outcome 13%
Losing outcome 83%
About break-even 2%
Above the Steam cap 2%

Order

at a loss

★ Navaja Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

5 717.93 ₴ 2.86%

pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Navaja Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

4 496.03 ₴ 2.86%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Navaja Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

3 335.00 ₴ 2.86%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Navaja Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

3 056.35 ₴ 2.86%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Navaja Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

3 101.47 ₴ 2.86%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Navaja Knife | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

9 142.00 ₴ 2.86%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Stiletto Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

25 713.17 ₴ 2.86%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Stiletto Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

14 041.18 ₴ 2.86%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Stiletto Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

13 780.00 ₴ 2.86%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Stiletto Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

13 064.90 ₴ 2.86%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Stiletto Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

9 285.71 ₴ 2.86%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Stiletto Knife | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

24 195.47 ₴ 2.86%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

11 437.99 ₴ 2.86%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

7 956.57 ₴ 2.86%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

7 013.15 ₴ 2.86%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ Ursus Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

649.13 ₴ 2.86%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

4 042.21 ₴ 2.86%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

15 732.04 ₴ 2.86%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Talon Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

39 554.89 ₴ 2.86%

pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ Talon Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

28 655.93 ₴ 2.86%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Talon Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

24 570.60 ₴ 2.86%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Talon Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

17 746.85 ₴ 2.86%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Talon Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.408108

16 363.44 ₴ 2.86%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Talon Knife | Ultraviolet

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

34 835.23 ₴ 2.86%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Ursus Knife

no wear

3 911.34 ₴ 2.86%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Navaja Knife

no wear

2 179.79 ₴ 2.86%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Stiletto Knife

no wear

9 889.73 ₴ 2.86%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Talon Knife

no wear

15 865.02 ₴ 2.86%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ Hand Wraps | Spruce DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.83%

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Badlands

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

61 973.55 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

★ Hand Wraps | Leather

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

39 397.07 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Hand Wraps | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

51 848.76 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ Moto Gloves | Eclipse

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

29 531.29 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Moto Gloves | Spearmint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.83%

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Boom!

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

72 374.88 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Moto Gloves | Cool Mint

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

98 631.22 ₴ 0.83%

sell on Market.CSGO

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Lunar Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

52 994.50 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Convoy

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

66 821.50 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Crimson Weave

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

83 155.07 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Driver Gloves | Diamondback

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

75 776.04 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

★ Specialist Gloves | Forest DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

46 475.53 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Emerald Web

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

190 265.99 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

★ Specialist Gloves | Crimson Kimono

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 0.83%

Steam

in profit

★ Specialist Gloves | Foundation

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

77 375.11 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

best

★ Sport Gloves | Hedge Maze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 316 996.48 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Superconductor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

418 053.79 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Arid

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

121 316.50 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Sport Gloves | Pandora's Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

961 898.27 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

in profit

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Charred

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

53 779.66 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Guerrilla

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

25 623.81 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Bronzed

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

69 713.30 ₴ 0.83%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

★ Bloodhound Gloves | Snakebite

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

17 979.02 ₴ 0.83%

sell on CSFloat

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) × 4 14% of the wear range fits at least ×2.37 18 188.19 → 43 015.08 ₴

Five-SeveN | Hyper Beast (Factory New) × 1 14% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 22 287.18 → 48 140.31 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.013513414

outcomes come out up to 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.001081, 0.006756, 0.408108, 0.069999, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Prisma Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 3 only The Operation Hydra Collection Variant 4 The Clutch Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 5 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 6 The Horizon Collection instead of The Prisma Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −900.96 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +171.60 ₴ historical median

1% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Operation Hydra Collection and The Prisma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2848126 · The Operation Hydra Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 511.81₴ · invest 40 475.38₴
profit on prices without salesat least −6 591 ₴ no outcome price marketplace price rare inputs pricier variants exist

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Prisma Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 52 outcomes

More

How to build