The Prisma Collection + The Wildfire Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −29 072.31₴

Invest at least 40 623.87₴

Average return 11 551.56₴

ROI −71.6%

Chance of profit 3%

With float: invest at least 40 623.87 ₴, profit at most −29 072.31 ₴

float premium: at least 21 883 ₴

The gain is understated: 6 outcomes have no price, that is 10.5% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat: without them the profit is −7 318.74 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×3

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0772

9 511.42 ₴

at 3 170.47

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0063

4 720.40 ₴

at 4 720.40

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0063

4 135.19 ₴

at 4 135.19

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 18 367.01 ₴ −6 815.45 (−37.1%)

The gain is understated: 6 outcomes have no price, that is 24.5% of the chance

4% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×2

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

6 340.94 ₴

at 3 170.47

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

2 952.75 ₴

at 2 952.75

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

8 270.39 ₴

at 4 135.19

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 17 564.08 ₴ −8 715.04 (−49.6%)

The gain is understated: 6 outcomes have no price, that is 31.5% of the chance

4% of lots fit: not enough for a contract

×1

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

3 170.47 ₴

at 3 170.47

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

5 905.49 ₴

at 2 952.75

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

8 270.39 ₴

at 4 135.19

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 17 346.35 ₴ −9 848.57 (−56.8%)

What you get 41 outcomes

Profitable outcome 19%
Losing outcome 65%
About break-even 6%
Above the Steam cap 11%

Order

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

7 804.26 ₴ 2.86%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

5 325.83 ₴ 2.86%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

4 043.11 ₴ 2.86%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

4 609.98 ₴ 2.86%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.441999

not on Steam: above the cap 2.86%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife | Ultraviolet

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

4 329.26 ₴ 2.86%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

32 989.44 ₴ 2.86%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

14 025.44 ₴ 2.86%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

18 317.24 ₴ 2.86%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

16 707.08 ₴ 2.86%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.441999

11 670.00 ₴ 2.86%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife | Ultraviolet

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

14 549.17 ₴ 2.86%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

12 708.76 ₴ 2.86%

pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

9 510.06 ₴ 2.86%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

8 389.41 ₴ 2.86%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

6 741.72 ₴ 2.86%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.441999

9 821.78 ₴ 2.86%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife | Ultraviolet

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

8 876.84 ₴ 2.86%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Doppler

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

49 380.25 ₴ 2.86%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number 7 phases, price averaged

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Marble Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

34 362.82 ₴ 2.86%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Tiger Tooth

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

30 562.35 ₴ 2.86%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Damascus Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

23 822.23 ₴ 2.86%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Rust Coat

Well-Worn

float up to 0.441999

17 974.98 ₴ 2.86%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife | Ultraviolet

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

25 673.51 ₴ 2.86%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Ursus Knife

no wear

4 799.18 ₴ 2.86%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Navaja Knife

no wear

2 778.59 ₴ 2.86%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Stiletto Knife

no wear

12 697.29 ₴ 2.86%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

about break-even

★ StatTrak™ Talon Knife

no wear

20 717.26 ₴ 2.86%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

12 780.77 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Slaughter

Factory New

float up to 0.027499

31 194.19 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Blue Steel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Stained

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Case Hardened

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Forest DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Boreal Forest

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

6 130.88 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

15 488.00 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Night

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

9 155.14 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Scorched

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

6 819.71 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Safari Mesh

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

4 066.61 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife | Urban Masked

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

not on Steam: above the cap 1.54%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Bowie Knife

no wear

6 255.25 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Minimal Wear) × 3 9% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 9 511.42 → 21 495.80 ₴

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New) × 1 9% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 4 720.40 → 10 196.06 ₴

StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New) × 1 9% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 4 135.19 → 8 932.02 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.069999900

outcomes come out up to 0.005599, 0.005599, 0.005599, 0.034999, 0.441999, 0.111799, 0.005599, 0.005599, 0.005599, 0.034999, 0.441999, 0.111799, 0.005599, 0.005599, 0.005599, 0.034999, 0.441999, 0.111799, 0.005599, 0.005599, 0.005599, 0.034999, 0.441999, 0.111799, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.000000, 0.005599, 0.027499, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.069999, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.111799, 0.000000

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

No other variants in this recount

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −8 505.53 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −7 073.62 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Prisma Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2853561 · The Prisma Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit −6 436.99₴ · invest 20 316.04₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AUG | Chameleon (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076862 instead of 0.077243; StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New): float at most 0.006004 instead of 0.006337
Craft 2853565 · The Phoenix Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit −6 436.99₴ · invest 20 316.04₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ AUG | Chameleon (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076862 instead of 0.077243; StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New): float at most 0.006004 instead of 0.006337
Craft 2853844 · The Wildfire Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit −6 815.45₴ · invest 18 367.01₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2853857 · The Winter Offensive Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit −6 819.25₴ · invest 20 698.31₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076473 instead of 0.077243; StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New): float at most 0.005664 instead of 0.006337
Craft 2853861 · The Prisma Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit −6 819.25₴ · invest 20 698.31₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | The Kraken (Factory New) instead of StatTrak™ M4A4 | The Battlestar (Factory New); StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076473 instead of 0.077243; StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Angry Mob (Factory New): float at most 0.005664 instead of 0.006337

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Prisma Collection + The Wildfire Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 41 outcomes

More

How to build