to all crafts

The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +4.88$

Invest 5.23$

Average return 10.11$

ROI +93.2%

Chance of profit 58%

With float: invest at least 12.29 $, profit at most −2.17 $

float premium: at least 7 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

1.94 $

at 0.65

Steam

×2

P90 | Grim

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

0.91 $

at 0.45

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Briefing

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

2.39 $

at 0.48

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5.23 $ +4.88 (+93.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

0.65 $

at 0.65

Steam

×8

UMP-45 | Briefing

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

3.82 $

at 0.48

Steam

×1

XM1014 | Slipstream

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

0.88 $

at 0.88

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5.35 $ +4.76 (+89.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1622

0.58 $

at 0.58

Steam

×8

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

5.17 $

at 0.65

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | Ventilator

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

0.43 $

at 0.43

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 6.17 $ +3.97 (+64.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1621

0.58 $

at 0.58

Steam

×6

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

3.88 $

at 0.65

Steam

×2

P90 | Grim

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

0.91 $

at 0.45

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Briefing

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

0.48 $

at 0.48

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5.84 $ +4.30 (+73.6%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 58%
Losing outcome 42%

in profit

Desert Eagle | Directive

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.125799

6.38 $ 14.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Weasel

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

42.71 $ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MAG-7 | Petroglyph

Factory New

float up to 0.030799

1.98 $ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

SCAR-20 | Powercore

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3.23 $ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Triarch

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3.78 $ 14.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

AK-47 | Safety Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

11.10 $ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.017499

11.52 $ 10.00%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

P250 | Vino Primo

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

12.37 $ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 3 The 2018 Nuke Collection instead of The Gamma 2 Collection Variant 4 The Glove Collection instead of The Gamma 2 Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Gamma 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2.79 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +4.17 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Inferno Collection and The Gamma 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 13 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2882392 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Revolver Case Collection · profit 4.55$ · invest 4.86$
rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Yorick (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Outbreak (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); P90 | Grim (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; P90 | Grim (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074772 instead of 0.074341; UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 5; UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074772 instead of 0.074341
Craft 2882231 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 4.44$ · invest 4.88$
rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); P90 | Grim (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 2; P90 | Grim (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074341; UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 5; UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074341
Craft 2870447 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 4.40$ · invest 4.42$
rare inputs

Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); P90 | Grim (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 2; P90 | Grim (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074341; UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074341
Craft 2871630 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 4.36$ · invest 4.80$
rare inputs

M249 | Spectre (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); P90 | Grim (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 2; P90 | Grim (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074341; UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 5; UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074341
Craft 2882249 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 4.35$ · invest 4.96$
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); P90 | Grim (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074213 instead of 0.074341; UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074213 instead of 0.074341
Craft 2868542 · The CS20 Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 4.24$ · invest 4.87$
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); P90 | Grim (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 2; P90 | Grim (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074348 instead of 0.074341; UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 5; UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074348 instead of 0.074341
Craft 2881982 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 4.23$ · invest 4.73$
rare inputs

Nova | Exo (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); P90 | Grim (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 2; P90 | Grim (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074341; UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 5; UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074341
Craft 2874827 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 4.17$ · invest 4.37$
rare inputs

Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); P90 | Grim (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 2; P90 | Grim (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074161 instead of 0.074341; UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074161 instead of 0.074341
Craft 2882321 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 4.12$ · invest 5.14$
rare inputs

SSG 08 | Blush Pour (Minimal Wear), M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); P90 | Grim (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 2; P90 | Grim (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074269 instead of 0.074341; UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 5; UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074269 instead of 0.074341
Craft 2882500 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 4.09$ · invest 4.47$
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); P90 | Grim (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 2; P90 | Grim (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074341; UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 5; UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074341
Craft 2873436 · The Clutch Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 4.09$ · invest 4.40$
rare inputs

P2000 | Urban Hazard (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); P90 | Grim (Minimal Wear): 1 pcs instead of 2; P90 | Grim (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074999 instead of 0.074341; UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): 7 pcs instead of 5; UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074999 instead of 0.074341
Craft 2882520 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 4.01$ · invest 4.72$
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); P90 | Grim (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 2; P90 | Grim (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074341; UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 5; UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074117 instead of 0.074341
Craft 2861007 · The Achroma Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 3.76$ · invest 4.96$
rare inputs

AUG | Creep (Minimal Wear), P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New); P90 | Grim (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 2; P90 | Grim (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074396 instead of 0.074341; UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 5; UMP-45 | Briefing (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074396 instead of 0.074341

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build