to all crafts

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −1 390.09₸

Invest at least 7 358.95₸

Average return 5 968.86₸

ROI −18.9%

Chance of profit 13%

With float: invest at least 7 358.95 ₸, profit at most −1 390.09 ₸

float premium: at least 4 256 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

896.71 ₸

at 224.18

Steam

×1

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

276.64 ₸

at 276.64

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

1 878.81 ₸

at 375.76

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 052.17 ₸ +2 916.69 (+95.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0777

896.71 ₸

at 224.18

Steam

×5

P250 | Exchanger

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0068

4 693.51 ₸

at 938.70

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0068

375.76 ₸

at 375.76

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 965.98 ₸ +3 923.59 (+65.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

224.18 ₸

at 224.18

Steam

×7

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

1 936.49 ₸

at 276.64

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0053

751.53 ₸

at 375.76

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 912.19 ₸ +704.22 (+24.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

448.35 ₸

at 224.18

Steam

×5

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

1 383.20 ₸

at 276.64

Steam

×3

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

1 127.29 ₸

at 375.76

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2 958.85 ₸ +1 441.69 (+48.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

672.53 ₸

at 224.18

Steam

×3

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

829.92 ₸

at 276.64

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0043

1 503.05 ₸

at 375.76

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3 005.51 ₸ +2 179.16 (+72.5%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 52%
Losing outcome 48%

in profit

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

5 695.96 ₸ 13.33%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

24 183.38 ₸ 13.33%

Steam

in profit

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

6 945.10 ₸ 13.33%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

2 086.12 ₸ 12.00%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

8 158.22 ₸ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

3 258.49 ₸ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

2 335.52 ₸ 12.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

447.05 ₸ 12.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Ancient Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Ascent Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 only The 2018 Nuke Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1 942.40 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2 550.32 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 22 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2856568 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 3 143.86₸ · invest 1 585.25₸
MP5-SD | Necro Jr. (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074197 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2856525 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Chroma Collection · profit 3 098.13₸ · invest 3 525.31₸
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Grotto (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2856556 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 3 046.28₸ · invest 2 120.84₸
UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Fragment (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076101 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2856929 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 3 009.54₸ · invest 3 202.23₸
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear), MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074374 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2856530 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 2 999.74₸ · invest 1 825.81₸
P2000 | Urban Hazard (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2856708 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 2 997.49₸ · invest 3 303.85₸
sells slowly rare inputs

Tec-9 | Snek-9 (Minimal Wear), Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074374 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2856874 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 2 991.17₸ · invest 1 812.84₸
Negev | Drop Me (Minimal Wear), Galil AR | Destroyer (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2856953 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 2 980.06₸ · invest 1 947.83₸
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2856694 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 2 925.00₸ · invest 3 193.61₸
UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.079032 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2856883 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Revolution Collection · profit 2 916.44₸ · invest 1 794.56₸
P250 | Re.built (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Fragments (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074226 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2856930 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 2 912.11₸ · invest 3 170.93₸
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear), MAC-10 | Rangeen (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074575 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2856547 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 2 889.39₸ · invest 2 005.61₸
Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested), MP9 | Modest Threat (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074882 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2856626 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 2 886.79₸ · invest 2 660.45₸
rare inputs

M249 | Hypnosis (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Trail Blazer (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 5 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075931 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2856962 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 2 865.27₸ · invest 2 280.84₸
sells slowly

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077567 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2856333 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Achroma Collection · profit 2 714.47₸ · invest 2 592.25₸
P90 | Aeolian Light (Minimal Wear), P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074087 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2856826 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 2 665.51₸ · invest 2 941.54₸
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075205 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2856548 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Danger Zone Collection · profit 2 664.34₸ · invest 1 743.07₸
Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075275 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2856508 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Chroma 2 Collection · profit 2 642.65₸ · invest 1 734.01₸
Negev | Man-o'-war (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): 3 pcs instead of 4; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075628 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2856946 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Snakebite Collection · profit 2 587.63₸ · invest 2 078.52₸
CZ75-Auto | Circaetus (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Oscillator (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074695 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2856532 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Clutch Collection · profit 2 569.72₸ · invest 1 768.25₸
P2000 | Urban Hazard (Minimal Wear), XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074057 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2856651 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 2 488.60₸ · invest 1 809.97₸
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Caged (Minimal Wear), SCAR-20 | Caged (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076486 instead of 0.074590
Craft 2856566 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Dreams & Nightmares Collection · profit 2 450.48₸ · invest 1 635.00₸
SCAR-20 | Poultrygeist (Factory New) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); MAG-7 | Core Breach: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.095565 instead of 0.074590

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build