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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +29.39₴

Invest 233.06₴

Average return 262.45₴

ROI +12.6%

Chance of profit 70%

With float: invest at least 552.81 ₴, profit at most −290.36 ₴

float premium: at least 319 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P250 | Exchanger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1664

7.63 ₴

at 7.63

Steam

×6

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

133.33 ₴

at 22.22

Steam

×2

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

54.84 ₴

at 27.42

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0049

37.25 ₴

at 37.25

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 233.06 ₴ +29.39 (+12.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P250 | Exchanger

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1674

7.63 ₴

at 7.63

Steam

×5

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

111.11 ₴

at 22.22

Steam

×4

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0760

109.69 ₴

at 27.42

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 228.43 ₴ +13.48 (+5.9%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 47%
Losing outcome 30%
About break-even 23%

in profit

best

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

564.62 ₴ 23.33%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.097999

281.80 ₴ 23.33%

Steam

about break-even

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

271.57 ₴ 23.33%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Neural Net

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.083999

77.56 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

P2000 | Handgun

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

75.78 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.072799

253.29 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

231.51 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.211399

44.31 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

P250 | Exchanger (Field-Tested) × 1 7% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 7.63 → 16.48 ₴

P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear) × 6 7% of the wear range fits at least ×2.51 133.33 → 334.66 ₴

Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear) × 2 7% of the wear range fits at least ×2.21 54.84 → 121.21 ₴

UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) × 1 7% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 37.25 → 80.46 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.139999900

outcomes come out up to 0.069999, 0.097999, 0.139999, 0.083999, 0.139999, 0.072799, 0.069999, 0.211399

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Ancient Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 The Ascent Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 only The 2018 Nuke Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −12.18 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +20.85 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 4 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build