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The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The 2021 Train Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −6 217.56₴

Invest at least 14 708.20₴

Average return 8 490.64₴

ROI −42.3%

Chance of profit 35%

With float: invest at least 14 708.20 ₴, profit at most −6 217.56 ₴

float premium: at least 8 373 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

1 603.91 ₴

at 1 603.91

souvenirSteam

×9

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

4 275.19 ₴

at 475.02

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 5 879.10 ₴ +2 611.53 (+44.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −6 413 ₴

≈1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

3 207.82 ₴

at 1 603.91

souvenirSteam

×3

Souvenir USP-S | Orange Anolis

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

4 811.73 ₴

at 1 603.91

souvenirSteam

×5

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0054

2 375.11 ₴

at 475.02

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 10 394.65 ₴ +204.10 (+2.0%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

at a loss

worst

FAMAS | Meltdown

Factory New

float up to 0.005405

3 132.81 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Propaganda

Factory New

float up to 0.008378

3 137.10 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Whiteout

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

21 204.54 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

SSG 08 | Death Strike

Factory New

float up to 0.010810

18 819.03 ₴ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

UMP-45 | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.001081

11 618.93 ₴ 5.00%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The 2021 Train Collection

Variant 2 only The 2021 Train Collection Variant 3 The Ancient Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 5 The Anubis Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection Variant 6 The Bravo Collection instead of The 2021 Dust 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +565.90 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2 307.32 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Dust 2 Collection and The 2021 Train Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2858971 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Graphic Design Collection · profit 2 709.73₴ · invest 4 973.78₴
sells slowly rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Slalom (Factory New) instead of Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005571 instead of 0.005515
Craft 2858837 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Arabesque Collection · profit 2 703.92₴ · invest 4 892.86₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Factory New) instead of Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005750 instead of 0.005515
Craft 2859106 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 2 703.12₴ · invest 4 867.10₴
sells slowly rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Factory New) instead of Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005750 instead of 0.005515
Craft 2858842 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Arms Deal 3 Collection · profit 2 674.75₴ · invest 4 618.85₴
sells slowly rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate (Factory New) instead of Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.004913 instead of 0.005515
Craft 2858805 · The 2021 Train Collection + The 2021 Vertigo Collection · profit 2 635.85₴ · invest 5 713.91₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir P250 | Digital Architect (Factory New) instead of Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005506 instead of 0.005515
Craft 2858974 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 2 595.91₴ · invest 4 659.29₴
sells slowly rare inputs

USP-S | Sleeping Potion (Factory New) instead of Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005647 instead of 0.005515
Craft 2859006 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Operation Hydra Collection · profit 2 542.81₴ · invest 5 387.12₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SSG 08 | Death's Head (Factory New) instead of Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005524 instead of 0.005515
Craft 2855679 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The 2021 Train Collection · profit 2 537.94₴ · invest 4 774.30₴
sells slowly rare inputs

AK-47 | Safety Net (Factory New) instead of Souvenir M4A4 | Red DDPAT (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005591 instead of 0.005515

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The 2021 Train Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build