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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Glove Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −1 252.67₴

Invest at least 2 773.03₴

Average return 1 520.36₴

ROI −45.2%

Chance of profit 14%

With float: invest at least 2 773.03 ₴, profit at most −1 252.67 ₴

float premium: at least 1 531 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Souvenir M249 | Humidor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

504.04 ₴

at 168.01

souvenirSteam

×4

Galil AR | Black Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1627

165.06 ₴

at 41.27

Steam

×3

MAG-7 | Sonar

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

550.23 ₴

at 183.41

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 219.33 ₴ +301.03 (+24.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −177 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

134.19 ₴

at 134.19

souvenirSteam

×6

Souvenir M249 | Humidor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

1 008.08 ₴

at 168.01

souvenirSteam

×3

Galil AR | Black Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1668

123.80 ₴

at 41.27

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 266.07 ₴ +181.63 (+14.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −338 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

268.38 ₴

at 134.19

souvenirSteam

×6

Souvenir M249 | Humidor

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0040

1 008.08 ₴

at 168.01

souvenirSteam

×1

MP7 | Cirrus

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1631

39.80 ₴

at 39.80

Steam

×1

Galil AR | Black Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1631

41.27 ₴

at 41.27

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 357.53 ₴ +72.00 (+5.3%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 48%
Losing outcome 42%
About break-even 10%

at a loss

Dual Berettas | Royal Consorts

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 111.71 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

G3SG1 | Stinger

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

368.62 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Flashback

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

5 566.15 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Nova | Gila

Factory New

float up to 0.020999

290.40 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.038499

1 718.57 ₴ 14.00%

Steam

in profit

AUG | Sand Storm

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

1 768.40 ₴ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Pink DDPAT

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.111799

1 648.00 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

about break-even

XM1014 | Elegant Vines

Factory New

float up to 0.025899

1 390.12 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Glove Collection

Variant 2 The Vanguard Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 3 The Sport & Field Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 5 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection Variant 6 The Horizon Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +13.17 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +170.15 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Glove Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Glove Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build