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The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Average profit +2.64$

Invest 1.72$

Average return 4.35$

ROI +153.6%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 4.14 $, profit at most +0.22 $

float premium: at least 2 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1703

1.20 $

at 0.30

souvenirSteam

×6

MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer

Field-Tested

buy 0.2000–0.2159

0.52 $

at 0.09

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.72 $ +2.64 (+153.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: the price is understated

×1

Souvenir CZ75-Auto | Midnight Palm

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1694

0.30 $

at 0.30

souvenirSteam

×5

Negev | Wall Bang

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1694

0.21 $

at 0.04

Steam

×4

MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer

Field-Tested

buy 0.2000–0.2151

0.35 $

at 0.09

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 0.86 $ +0.67 (+78.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1676

0.90 $

at 0.30

souvenirSteam

×2

Negev | Wall Bang

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1676

0.09 $

at 0.04

Steam

×5

MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer

Field-Tested

buy 0.2000–0.2138

0.43 $

at 0.09

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.42 $ +2.00 (+141.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1664

0.60 $

at 0.30

souvenirSteam

×4

Souvenir P90 | Verdant Growth

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

2.54 $

at 0.63

souvenirSteam

×4

MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer

Field-Tested

buy 0.2000–0.2128

0.35 $

at 0.09

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3.48 $ +2.75 (+79.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: the price is understated

×2

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1646

0.60 $

at 0.30

souvenirSteam

×4

Negev | Wall Bang

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1646

0.17 $

at 0.04

Steam

×4

MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer

Field-Tested

buy 0.2000–0.2114

0.35 $

at 0.09

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1.12 $ +1.36 (+121.8%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

at a loss

worst

Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.076363

0.43 $ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

Glock-18 | Teal Graf

Factory New

float up to 0.063636

0.59 $ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Pipsqueak

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.114545

1.09 $ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Wurst Hölle

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.127272

0.62 $ 15.00%

Steam

in profit

M249 | Humidor

Factory New

float up to 0.063636

4.39 $ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Music Box

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

7.68 $ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

SG 553 | Desert Blossom

Factory New

float up to 0.062363

3.98 $ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Purple DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

29.94 $ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 3 The Bank Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 4 The Sport & Field Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 5 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 6 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2021 Mirage Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.85 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2.26 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Mirage Collection and The Overpass 2024 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2857994 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Bank Collection · profit 2.77$ · invest 2.00$
sells slowly

UMP-45 | Carbon Fiber (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested); Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162462 instead of 0.170391
Craft 2858446 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 2.68$ · invest 1.72$
sells slowly

Galil AR | Metallic Squeezer: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162461 instead of 0.170391; MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested): float at most 0.209752 instead of 0.215958
Craft 2858673 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 2.60$ · invest 1.68$
sells slowly

Tec-9 | Tiger Stencil (Minimal Wear), MP5-SD | Savannah Halftone (Field-Tested) instead of MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested); Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162099 instead of 0.170391
Craft 2856283 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection · profit 2.52$ · invest 2.53$
sells slowly

M4A4 | Mainframe (Minimal Wear), Negev | Bulkhead (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested); Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162755 instead of 0.170391
Craft 2858609 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 2.25$ · invest 2.17$
sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Condemned (Minimal Wear), M249 | Gator Mesh (Factory New) instead of MP5-SD | Neon Squeezer (Field-Tested); Souvenir Dual Berettas | Drift Wood (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161777 instead of 0.170391

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

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How to build