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The 2021 Train Collection + The Ascent Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +47.31₽

Invest 377.52₽

Average return 424.83₽

ROI +12.5%

Chance of profit 55%

With float: invest at least 869.34 ₽, profit at most −444.51 ₽

float premium: at least 498 ₽

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

170.60 ₽

at 170.60

Steam

×7

FAMAS | Yeti Camo

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1627

128.10 ₽

at 18.30

Steam

×2

Desert Eagle | Mint Fan

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

78.82 ₽

at 39.41

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 377.52 ₽ +47.31 (+12.5%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 55%
Losing outcome 45%

in profit

AK-47 | Midnight Laminate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

695.22 ₽ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

USP-S | Royal Guard

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.119999

226.67 ₽ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

AWP | POP AWP

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087999

649.48 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.139999

758.10 ₽ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Space Race

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.119999

749.77 ₽ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.115999

857.40 ₽ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Nova | Red Quartz

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.079999

670.38 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Train Collection + The Ascent Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Ascent Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 6 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −3.95 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +29.95 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Train Collection and The Ascent Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2865386 · The Ascent Collection + The Vertigo Collection · profit 52.06₽ · invest 402.78₽
rare inputs

Souvenir P90 | Glacier Mesh (Field-Tested) instead of UMP-45 | Full Stop (Minimal Wear); FAMAS | Yeti Camo (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161593 instead of 0.162777; Desert Eagle | Mint Fan (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074032 instead of 0.074444

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Train Collection + The Ascent Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build