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The 2021 Train Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −100.21$

Invest at least 259.61$

Average return 159.40$

ROI −38.6%

Chance of profit 27%

With float: invest at least 259.61 $, profit at most −100.21 $

float premium: at least 148 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈2% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

84.54 $

at 10.57

Steam

×2

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

18.40 $

at 9.20

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 102.94 $ +56.46 (+54.9%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 37%
Losing outcome 63%

at a loss

FAMAS | Meltdown

Factory New

float up to 0.005405

69.69 $ 26.67%

Steam

at a loss

MAC-10 | Propaganda

Factory New

float up to 0.008378

69.79 $ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

best

USP-S | Whiteout

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

471.70 $ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Hellish

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

141.23 $ 10.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP9 | Latte Rush

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

62.03 $ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Train Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 only The 2021 Train Collection Variant 3 The Ancient Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 4 The eSports 2014 Summer Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 5 The Anubis Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection Variant 6 The Bravo Collection instead of The Train 2025 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +17.43 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +49.65 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Train Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2856301 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The 2021 Train Collection · profit 53.93$ · invest 100.00$
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir AUG | Random Access (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): 7 pcs instead of 8; Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005750 instead of 0.005912
Craft 2858977 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 53.01$ · invest 97.08$
sells slowly rare inputs

AWP | PAW (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): 7 pcs instead of 8; Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005750 instead of 0.005912
Craft 2858841 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Arms Deal 2 Collection · profit 52.84$ · invest 101.19$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Graphite (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.003685 instead of 0.005912
Craft 2858980 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit 51.87$ · invest 100.89$
sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Torque (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): 7 pcs instead of 8; Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005750 instead of 0.005912
Craft 2859130 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 50.72$ · invest 99.99$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005630 instead of 0.005912
Craft 2859015 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 44.32$ · invest 95.61$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New) instead of MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New); Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): 7 pcs instead of 8; Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.006285 instead of 0.005912

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Train Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build