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The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Overpass Collection

Consumer Grade → Industrial Grade

Average profit +9.45$

Invest 3.67$

Average return 13.12$

ROI +257.2%

Chance of profit 62%

With float: invest at least 9.07 $, profit at most +4.05 $

float premium: at least 5 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Oil Change

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0038

2.06 $

at 0.41

souvenirSteam

×5

Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0743

1.61 $

at 0.32

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 3.67 $ +9.45 (+257.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Souvenir Dual Berettas | Oil Change

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

1.24 $

at 0.41

souvenirSteam

×5

Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

1.61 $

at 0.32

souvenirSteam

×2

Souvenir UMP-45 | Scorched

Factory New

buy 0.0600–0.0606

5.58 $

at 2.79

souvenirSteam

Set · 10 pcs 8.42 $ +8.40 (+99.8%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 62%
Losing outcome 38%

at a loss

worst

PP-Bizon | Breaker Box

Factory New

float up to 0.005945

2.53 $ 12.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Red Tire

Factory New

float up to 0.007432

8.87 $ 12.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

SSG 08 | Carbon Fiber

Factory New

float up to 0.001621

3.47 $ 12.50%

Steam

at a loss

UMP-45 | Mechanism

Factory New

float up to 0.006621

2.86 $ 12.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Urban DDPAT

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

28.63 $ 12.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Night

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

46.65 $ 12.50%

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Grassland

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

13.40 $ 12.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Gunsmoke

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

14.31 $ 12.50%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Overpass Collection

Variant 2 The Train Collection instead of The 2021 Vertigo Collection Variant 3 The Safehouse Collection instead of The 2021 Vertigo Collection Variant 4 The Radiant Collection instead of The 2021 Vertigo Collection Variant 5 The Safehouse Collection instead of The Overpass Collection Variant 6 The Ancient Collection instead of The Overpass Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +6.60 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +8.20 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2021 Vertigo Collection and The Overpass Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 11 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2866394 · The Boreal Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 11.47$ · invest 2.06$
sells slowly rare inputs

G3SG1 | Green Cell (Factory New) instead of Souvenir Dual Berettas | Oil Change (Factory New); Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 5; Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074006 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2889888 · The Overpass Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 10.31$ · invest 1.89$
sells slowly rare inputs

Tec-9 | Army Mesh (Factory New) instead of Souvenir Dual Berettas | Oil Change (Factory New); Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2856075 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 9.68$ · invest 1.87$
sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Sweeper (Factory New) instead of Souvenir Dual Berettas | Oil Change (Factory New); Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2858468 · The 2021 Mirage Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 9.61$ · invest 2.32$
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir PP-Bizon | Anolis (Factory New) instead of Souvenir Dual Berettas | Oil Change (Factory New)
Craft 2885354 · The Harlequin Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 9.61$ · invest 1.77$
sells slowly rare inputs

FAMAS | Byproduct (Factory New) instead of Souvenir Dual Berettas | Oil Change (Factory New); Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074592 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2857567 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 9.57$ · invest 2.52$
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir Sawed-Off | Parched (Factory New) instead of Souvenir Dual Berettas | Oil Change (Factory New); Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074307 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2865109 · The Ascent Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 9.52$ · invest 1.80$
sells slowly rare inputs

Galil AR | Grey Smoke (Factory New) instead of Souvenir Dual Berettas | Oil Change (Factory New); Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2861206 · The Achroma Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 9.51$ · invest 1.77$
sells slowly rare inputs

SSG 08 | Sans Comic (Factory New) instead of Souvenir Dual Berettas | Oil Change (Factory New)
Craft 2889840 · The Overpass Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 9.50$ · invest 1.77$
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Wood Block Camo (Factory New) instead of Souvenir Dual Berettas | Oil Change (Factory New); Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074809 instead of 0.074357
Craft 2856813 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 9.49$ · invest 1.84$
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Facility Draft (Factory New) instead of Souvenir Dual Berettas | Oil Change (Factory New)
Craft 2863009 · The Anubis Collection + The Overpass Collection · profit 9.46$ · invest 2.87$
sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Snake Pit (Factory New) instead of Souvenir Dual Berettas | Oil Change (Factory New); Souvenir M249 | Contrast Spray (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074592 instead of 0.074357

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2021 Vertigo Collection + The Overpass Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

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How to build