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The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −37.67$

Invest at least 123.36$

Average return 85.69$

ROI −30.5%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 123.36 $, profit at most −37.67 $

float premium: at least 70 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Nova | Graphite

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

8.33 $

at 8.33

Steam

×6

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1622

17.13 $

at 2.85

Steam

×3

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0037

27.60 $

at 9.20

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 53.06 $ +32.63 (+61.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −5 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Nova | Graphite

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

16.65 $

at 8.33

Steam

×5

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1689

14.27 $

at 2.85

Steam

×3

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

27.60 $

at 9.20

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 58.53 $ +24.48 (+41.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −7 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Nova | Graphite

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

24.98 $

at 8.33

Steam

×5

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1660

14.27 $

at 2.85

Steam

×2

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

18.40 $

at 9.20

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 57.65 $ +22.66 (+39.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −22 $

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

Nova | Graphite

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0041

49.95 $

at 8.33

Steam

×1

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

2.19 $

at 2.19

Steam

×3

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

8.56 $

at 2.85

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 60.71 $ +11.55 (+19.0%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 5%
About break-even 45%

in profit

best

M4A4 | Hellish

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

141.23 $ 45.00%

Steam

about break-even

MP9 | Latte Rush

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

62.03 $ 45.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

P90 | Cold Blooded

Factory New

float up to 0.005599

56.00 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

USP-S | Serum

Factory New

float up to 0.017499

85.48 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 only The Train 2025 Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Arms Deal 2 Collection Variant 4 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Arms Deal 2 Collection Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Arms Deal 2 Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Arms Deal 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +16.64 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +25.54 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Arms Deal 2 Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2863216 · The Anubis Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 32.82$ · invest 59.89$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Sobek's Bite (Factory New) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165707 instead of 0.162278; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004780 instead of 0.003736
Craft 2894104 · The Train 2025 Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection · profit 31.67$ · invest 54.38$
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165131 instead of 0.162278; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004605 instead of 0.003736
Craft 2894089 · The Train 2025 Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 31.57$ · invest 52.46$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165131 instead of 0.162278; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004605 instead of 0.003736
Craft 2893267 · The Shattered Web Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 31.18$ · invest 54.28$
sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Arctic Wolf (Factory New) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165455 instead of 0.162278; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004703 instead of 0.003736
Craft 2885207 · The Graphic Design Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 30.75$ · invest 60.27$
sells slowly rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Slalom (Factory New) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165269 instead of 0.162278; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004647 instead of 0.003736
Craft 2859119 · The 2021 Train Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 30.72$ · invest 55.30$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Red Quartz (Factory New) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164858 instead of 0.162278; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004522 instead of 0.003736
Craft 2863858 · The Arabesque Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 30.62$ · invest 58.47$
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Ifrit Lattice (Factory New) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165707 instead of 0.162278; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004780 instead of 0.003736
Craft 2864546 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 29.97$ · invest 52.37$
sells slowly rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate (Factory New) instead of Nova | Graphite (Factory New); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163631 instead of 0.162278; MAC-10 | Derailment (Factory New): float at most 0.004148 instead of 0.003736

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Arms Deal 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build