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The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +4 971.02₸

Invest 7 679.27₸

Average return 12 650.29₸

ROI +64.7%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 19 512.60 ₸, profit at most −6 862.31 ₸

float premium: at least 11 916 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P2000 | Red FragCam

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1643

1 455.09 ₸

at 1 455.09

Steam

×9

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0749

6 224.18 ₸

at 691.58

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7 679.27 ₸ +4 971.02 (+64.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 945 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

5 071.33 ₸

at 1 690.44

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

3 457.88 ₸

at 691.58

Steam

×2

G3SG1 | Murky

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

2 184.48 ₸

at 1 092.24

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 10 713.69 ₸ +3 428.80 (+32.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −10 842 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

5 071.33 ₸

at 1 690.44

Steam

×3

Glock-18 | Blue Fissure

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

7 807.20 ₸

at 2 602.40

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

2 766.30 ₸

at 691.58

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 15 644.83 ₸ +735.95 (+4.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −8 500 ₸

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1623

5 071.33 ₸

at 1 690.44

Steam

×2

CZ75-Auto | Crimson Web

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

5 428.65 ₸

at 2 714.33

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0742

3 457.88 ₸

at 691.58

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 13 957.86 ₸ +1 676.83 (+12.0%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

at a loss

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.036099

3 900.10 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

36 279.84 ₸ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.047599

12 088.43 ₸ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

2 490.80 ₸ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Tread Plate

Factory New

float up to 0.013999

3 396.73 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

best

Desert Eagle | Heirloom

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

45 356.80 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

Five-SeveN | Copper Galaxy

Factory New

float up to 0.013999

6 634.72 ₸ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

Tec-9 | Titanium Bit

Factory New

float up to 0.013999

33 691.71 ₸ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Arms Deal 3 Collection Variant 4 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Arms Deal 3 Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Arms Deal 3 Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Arms Deal 3 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2 295.16 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +3 827.13 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Arms Deal 3 Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2889383 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 4 916.84₸ · invest 6 603.90₸
sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Plague (Field-Tested) instead of P2000 | Red FragCam (Field-Tested); UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075522 instead of 0.074990
Craft 2885217 · The Graphic Design Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 4 723.12₸ · invest 6 692.99₸
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Wild Berry (Field-Tested) instead of P2000 | Red FragCam (Field-Tested); UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074480 instead of 0.074990
Craft 2889025 · The Operation Hydra Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 4 644.92₸ · invest 7 906.05₸
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Aloha (Field-Tested) instead of P2000 | Red FragCam (Field-Tested); UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074480 instead of 0.074990
Craft 2857773 · The 2021 Dust 2 Collection + The Vanguard Collection · profit 4 542.26₸ · invest 9 153.89₸
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Souvenir Galil AR | Amber Fade (Field-Tested) instead of P2000 | Red FragCam (Field-Tested); Sawed-Off | Highwayman: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074961 instead of 0.074990

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

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How to build