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The Boreal Collection + The Falchion Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +7.33₴

Invest 73.80₴

Average return 81.13₴

ROI +9.9%

Chance of profit 94%

With float: invest at least 172.31 ₴, profit at most −91.17 ₴

float premium: at least 92 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

MAC-10 | Poplar Thicket

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1629

31.10 ₴

at 4.44

Steam

×2

XM1014 | Copperflage

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

15.28 ₴

at 7.64

Steam

×1

Nova | Ranger

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

27.42 ₴

at 27.42

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 73.80 ₴ +7.33 (+9.9%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 49%
Losing outcome 6%
About break-even 45%

about break-even

Glock-18 | Glockingbird

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.133999

87.72 ₴ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Sheet Lightning

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

95.99 ₴ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Neural Net

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.119999

77.56 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P2000 | Handgun

Field-Tested

float up to 0.199999

42.26 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.103999

253.29 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.099999

114.34 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.241999

44.31 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Boreal Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Glove Collection instead of The Boreal Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Boreal Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Boreal Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −2.90 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +3.02 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Boreal Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2865958 · The Boreal Collection + The CS20 Collection · profit 7.56₴ · invest 68.23₴
MAC-10 | Classic Crate (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Ranger (Minimal Wear)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Boreal Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

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How to build