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The Breakout Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −79.60$

Invest at least 188.48$

Average return 108.88$

ROI −42.2%

Chance of profit 5%

With float: invest at least 188.48 $, profit at most −79.60 $

float premium: at least 106 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

23.62 $

at 23.62

Steam

×9

P90 | Deathgaze

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1649

52.27 $

at 5.81

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 75.89 $ +33.00 (+43.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1676

21.34 $

at 21.34

Steam

×3

Glock-18 | Water Elemental

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

65.79 $

at 21.93

Steam

×6

P90 | Deathgaze

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1676

34.84 $

at 5.81

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 121.97 $ +11.87 (+9.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1676

42.67 $

at 21.34

Steam

×3

Glock-18 | Water Elemental

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

65.79 $

at 21.93

Steam

×5

P90 | Deathgaze

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1676

29.04 $

at 5.81

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 137.50 $ +4.66 (+3.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1649

21.34 $

at 21.34

Steam

×1

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

23.62 $

at 23.62

Steam

×8

P90 | Deathgaze

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1649

46.46 $

at 5.81

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 91.42 $ +25.79 (+28.2%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 100%
Losing outcome 0%

in profit

AWP | Queen's Gambit

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

116.31 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

worst

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

114.98 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074999

199.69 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

best

P90 | Asiimov

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.137999

222.99 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 4 The Prisma Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 6 The Fracture Collection instead of The Breakout Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +20.78 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +29.41 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Dead Hand Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2876617 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 33.11$ · invest 70.26$
rare inputs

AWP | Fever Dream (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165701 instead of 0.164978
Craft 2868367 · The CS20 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 32.74$ · invest 62.41$
rare inputs

P90 | Nostalgia (Factory New) instead of Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New); P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165733 instead of 0.164978

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Dead Hand Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build