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The Breakout Collection + The Prisma Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +64.00$

Invest 76.70$

Average return 140.71$

ROI +83.4%

Chance of profit 100%

With float: invest at least 192.20 $, profit at most −51.49 $

float premium: at least 113 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×1

Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4796

20.29 $

at 20.29

Steam

×9

XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1624

56.42 $

at 6.27

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 76.70 $ +64.00 (+83.4%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

64.01 $

at 21.34

Steam

×1

Glock-18 | Water Elemental

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

21.93 $

at 21.93

Steam

×6

XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1635

37.61 $

at 6.27

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 123.55 $ +34.65 (+28.1%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

42.67 $

at 21.34

Steam

×3

Glock-18 | Water Elemental

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0746

65.79 $

at 21.93

Steam

×5

XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1633

31.34 $

at 6.27

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 139.81 $ +24.23 (+17.3%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Glock-18 | Water Elemental

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

21.18 $

at 21.18

Steam

×2

Five-SeveN | Fowl Play

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

42.67 $

at 21.34

Steam

×7

XM1014 | Incinegator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

43.88 $

at 6.27

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 107.73 $ +44.64 (+41.4%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 100%
Losing outcome 0%

in profit

worst

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob

Factory New

float up to 0.061249

95.00 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | The Emperor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

215.21 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Cyrex

Factory New

float up to 0.043749

221.39 $ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

best

P90 | Asiimov

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.080499

222.99 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Prisma Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 4 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 6 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Breakout Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +43.18 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +59.56 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Prisma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 6 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2890978 · The Prisma Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 65.64$ · invest 64.81$
sells slowly rare inputs

SG 553 | Colony IV (Battle-Scarred) instead of Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 2891041 · The Prisma Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 65.08$ · invest 67.82$
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | High Roller (Battle-Scarred) instead of Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 2872015 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 65.03$ · invest 68.88$
sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Fleet Flock (Battle-Scarred) instead of Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 2870878 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 64.80$ · invest 69.05$
sells slowly rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Monkey Business (Battle-Scarred) instead of Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Battle-Scarred); XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162991 instead of 0.162402
Craft 2891192 · The Prisma Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 62.03$ · invest 73.97$
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Mehndi (Battle-Scarred) instead of Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 2864434 · The Arms Deal 3 Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 60.80$ · invest 72.24$
sells slowly rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | The Fuschia Is Now (Field-Tested) instead of Five-SeveN | Fowl Play (Battle-Scarred); XM1014 | Incinegator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166058 instead of 0.162402

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Prisma Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build