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The Breakout Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +206.18₴

Invest 322.49₴

Average return 528.67₴

ROI +63.9%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 747.40 ₴, profit at most −218.73 ₴

float premium: at least 420 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P2000 | Ivory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

22.74 ₴

at 22.74

Steam

×5

UMP-45 | Labyrinth

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

131.90 ₴

at 26.38

Steam

×3

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1615

99.30 ₴

at 33.10

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

68.55 ₴

at 68.55

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 322.49 ₴ +206.18 (+63.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | Labyrinth

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0047

26.38 ₴

at 26.38

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1655

66.20 ₴

at 33.10

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

479.87 ₴

at 68.55

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 572.45 ₴ +472.75 (+82.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

P2000 | Ivory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

45.48 ₴

at 22.74

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Labyrinth

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

52.76 ₴

at 26.38

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

66.20 ₴

at 33.10

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

274.21 ₴

at 68.55

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 438.65 ₴ +296.63 (+67.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P2000 | Ivory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

22.74 ₴

at 22.74

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Labyrinth

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

26.38 ₴

at 26.38

Steam

×2

MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1638

66.20 ₴

at 33.10

Steam

×6

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0748

411.32 ₴

at 68.55

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 526.64 ₴ +415.26 (+78.8%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 20%
Losing outcome 70%
About break-even 10%

at a loss

PP-Bizon | Osiris

Factory New

float up to 0.043749

130.82 ₴ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Tigris

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

126.30 ₴ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

Nova | Koi

Factory New

float up to 0.026249

131.94 ₴ 15.00%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Supernova

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

141.96 ₴ 15.00%

Steam

about break-even

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.040124

386.60 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

3 596.28 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

1 198.28 ₴ 10.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

102.00 ₴ 10.00%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

P2000 | Ivory (Minimal Wear) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 22.74 → 49.11 ₴

UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New) × 5 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.47 131.90 → 325.78 ₴

MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested) × 3 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 99.30 → 224.43 ₴

UMP-45 | Delusion (Minimal Wear) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 68.55 → 148.07 ₴

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.087499900

outcomes come out up to 0.043749, 0.087499, 0.026249, 0.034999, 0.040124, 0.069999, 0.059499, 0.087499

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 4 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Breakout Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Breakout Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +96.98 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +157.69 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

More

How to build