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The Chroma 3 Collection + The Shadow Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −107.12₴

Invest at least 496.58₴

Average return 389.46₴

ROI −21.6%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest at least 496.58 ₴, profit at most −107.12 ₴

float premium: at least 277 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

M249 | Spectre

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

49.66 ₴

at 24.83

Steam

×5

SCAR-20 | Green Marine

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

87.10 ₴

at 17.42

Steam

×3

XM1014 | Scumbria

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

75.97 ₴

at 25.32

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 212.73 ₴ +176.73 (+83.1%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 72%
Losing outcome 28%

in profit

best

Galil AR | Stone Cold

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

1 076.21 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

323.86 ₴ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

float up to 0.043399

202.76 ₴ 20.00%

Steam

in profit

P250 | Wingshot

Factory New

float up to 0.062999

357.67 ₴ 20.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Red Astor

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

194.15 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

Galil AR | Firefight

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

404.36 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

SSG 08 | Ghost Crusader

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

349.16 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

in profit

Tec-9 | Re-Entry

Factory New

float up to 0.030099

270.17 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

XM1014 | Black Tie

Factory New

float up to 0.052499

176.80 ₴ 4.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Chroma 3 Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Chroma 3 Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The Chroma 3 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +105.67 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +154.36 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Chroma 3 Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 11 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2886047 · The Horizon Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 183.64₴ · invest 245.09₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of M249 | Spectre (Factory New)
Craft 2865239 · The Ascent Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 180.33₴ · invest 241.59₴
sells slowly rare inputs

P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New) instead of M249 | Spectre (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074314 instead of 0.074117; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074314 instead of 0.074117
Craft 2889611 · The Overpass 2024 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 180.29₴ · invest 215.96₴
sells slowly rare inputs

Glock-18 | Teal Graf (Factory New) instead of M249 | Spectre (Factory New)
Craft 2891337 · The Radiant Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 178.40₴ · invest 227.96₴
sells slowly rare inputs

M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of M249 | Spectre (Factory New)
Craft 2861333 · The Achroma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 173.49₴ · invest 227.07₴
sells slowly rare inputs

P90 | Aeolian Light (Factory New) instead of M249 | Spectre (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074396 instead of 0.074117; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074396 instead of 0.074117
Craft 2869035 · The CS20 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 171.34₴ · invest 215.71₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Assault (Factory New) instead of M249 | Spectre (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074348 instead of 0.074117; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074348 instead of 0.074117
Craft 2872984 · The Chroma Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 168.81₴ · invest 249.93₴
sells slowly rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Grotto (Factory New) instead of M249 | Spectre (Factory New)
Craft 2885481 · The Harlequin Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 163.09₴ · invest 238.97₴
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New) instead of M249 | Spectre (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074468 instead of 0.074117; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074468 instead of 0.074117
Craft 2892989 · The Shadow Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 161.11₴ · invest 208.81₴
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of M249 | Spectre (Factory New)
Craft 2878855 · The Falchion Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 159.54₴ · invest 237.57₴
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New) instead of M249 | Spectre (Factory New); SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074468 instead of 0.074117; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074468 instead of 0.074117
Craft 2856164 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 150.85₴ · invest 221.15₴
sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

Sawed-Off | Brake Light (Factory New) instead of M249 | Spectre (Factory New); M249 | Nebula Crusader: Minimal Wear instead of Factory New; SCAR-20 | Green Marine (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074185 instead of 0.074117; XM1014 | Scumbria (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074185 instead of 0.074117

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Chroma 3 Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build