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The Danger Zone Collection + The Vanguard Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +1.47$

Invest 3.62$

Average return 5.09$

ROI +40.5%

Chance of profit 46%

With float: invest at least 8.67 $, profit at most −3.59 $

float premium: at least 5 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1697

0.37 $

at 0.18

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1697

2.15 $

at 0.31

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1697

1.10 $

at 1.10

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 3.62 $ +1.47 (+40.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1692

1.23 $

at 0.31

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1692

2.20 $

at 1.10

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

6.88 $

at 1.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 10.31 $ +4.60 (+44.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1676

0.92 $

at 0.31

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1676

2.20 $

at 1.10

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0761

8.60 $

at 1.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 11.72 $ +5.16 (+44.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −1 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1659

0.61 $

at 0.31

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1659

2.20 $

at 1.10

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0755

10.31 $

at 1.72

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 13.13 $ +5.71 (+43.5%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 46%
Losing outcome 54%

at a loss

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Scavenger

Factory New

float up to 0.056874

3.19 $ 18.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Signal

Factory New

float up to 0.043749

4.46 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Pipe Down

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.078749

2.04 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ P250 | Nevermore

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

4.55 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ USP-S | Flashback

Factory New

float up to 0.043749

3.70 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.040124

8.00 $ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

31.05 $ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.059499

58.97 $ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.087499

6.74 $ 2.50%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Danger Zone Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 The Dead Hand Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 4 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 5 The Genesis Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection Variant 6 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Vanguard Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.70 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +1.26 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Danger Zone Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2875195 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Phoenix Collection · profit 1.56$ · invest 3.26$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Pipe Down: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162078 instead of 0.169780; StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162078 instead of 0.169780
Craft 2874692 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 1.51$ · invest 3.03$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ P90 | Elite Build (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Pipe Down: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161905 instead of 0.169780; StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161905 instead of 0.169780
Craft 2875456 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 1.49$ · invest 3.34$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ G3SG1 | Black Sand (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Pipe Down: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165118 instead of 0.169780; StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165118 instead of 0.169780
Craft 2874982 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 1.43$ · invest 2.89$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Survivalist (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Pipe Down: Factory New instead of Minimal Wear; StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Black Sand (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162617 instead of 0.169780; StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162617 instead of 0.169780

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Danger Zone Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

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How to build