to all crafts

The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −111.39₴

Invest at least 324.23₴

Average return 212.84₴

ROI −34.4%

Chance of profit 2%

With float: invest at least 324.23 ₴, profit at most −111.39 ₴

float premium: at least 191 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0768

92.69 ₴

at 10.30

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0059

37.25 ₴

at 37.25

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 129.94 ₴ +82.91 (+63.8%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 98%
Losing outcome 2%

in profit

Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

277.05 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

Galil AR | Galigator

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

192.29 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Electrum

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

328.82 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Amberline

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

184.95 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

197.35 ₴ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

206.79 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

best

P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

808.69 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.036399

323.00 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

231.51 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

float up to 0.175699

44.31 ₴ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +58.88 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +79.31 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Falchion Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2873210 · The Clutch Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 84.96₴ · invest 108.99₴
XM1014 | Oxide Blaze (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2876043 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Harlequin Collection · profit 84.68₴ · invest 130.64₴
UMP-45 | Warm Blooded (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New)
Craft 2876586 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Spectrum Collection · profit 83.69₴ · invest 115.56₴
PP-Bizon | Jungle Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076511 instead of 0.076829
Craft 2867414 · The Breakout Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 80.85₴ · invest 119.07₴
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Labyrinth (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076256 instead of 0.076829

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

More

How to build