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The Dead Hand Collection + The Horizon Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −10.39$

Invest at least 18.38$

Average return 7.99$

ROI −56.5%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 18.38 $, profit at most −10.39 $

float premium: at least 10 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×6

MP7 | Amberline

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4865

3.92 $

at 0.65

Steam

×3

Galil AR | Galigator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

2.91 $

at 0.97

Steam

×1

Nova | Toy Soldier

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3846

0.90 $

at 0.90

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 7.74 $ +0.25 (+3.3%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 33%
Losing outcome 67%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Crane Flight

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

16.14 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Kintsugi

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

6.44 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Deathgaze

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

5.81 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Eye of Athena

Field-Tested

float up to 0.265999

5.19 $ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Nightmare

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

9.83 $ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Field-Tested

float up to 0.303999

5.14 $ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Horizon Collection

Variant 2 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Overpass Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 only The Horizon Collection Variant 6 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −0.64 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.17 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Horizon Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2856565 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 0.28$ · invest 8.21$
rare inputs

AUG | Random Access (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Toy Soldier (Well-Worn); MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.493258 instead of 0.486576; Galil AR | Galigator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.168089 instead of 0.165295
Craft 2876491 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 0.27$ · invest 8.09$
rare inputs

MP7 | Special Delivery (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Toy Soldier (Well-Worn); MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.501464 instead of 0.486576; Galil AR | Galigator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.171521 instead of 0.165295
Craft 2870256 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 0.27$ · invest 8.33$
UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Toy Soldier (Well-Worn); MP7 | Amberline (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.488577 instead of 0.486576; Galil AR | Galigator (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166132 instead of 0.165295
Craft 2876517 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 0.26$ · invest 8.61$
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Embargo (Well-Worn) instead of Nova | Toy Soldier (Well-Worn)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Horizon Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build