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The Dead Hand Collection + The Phoenix Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −244.63₽

Invest at least 461.12₽

Average return 216.48₽

ROI −53.0%

Chance of profit 5%

With float: invest at least 461.12 ₽, profit at most −244.63 ₽

float premium: at least 252 ₽

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×6

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4886

78.66 ₽

at 13.11

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1661

63.39 ₽

at 21.13

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Negev | Terrain

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1661

55.75 ₽

at 55.75

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 197.80 ₽ +18.68 (+9.4%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4900

65.55 ₽

at 13.11

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1667

63.39 ₽

at 21.13

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Corporal

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3851

50.76 ₽

at 50.76

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Negev | Terrain

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1667

55.75 ₽

at 55.75

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 235.45 ₽ +3.63 (+1.5%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 46%
Losing outcome 54%

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

252.33 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

148.43 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

418.15 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

129.57 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

166.35 ₽ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ FAMAS | Sergeant

Well-Worn

float up to 0.441999

376.99 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ MAC-10 | Heat

Field-Tested

float up to 0.379999

550.07 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Pulse

Field-Tested

float up to 0.289999

407.91 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ USP-S | Guardian

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.144399

596.51 ₽ 2.50%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Phoenix Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 3 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection Variant 6 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Phoenix Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −8.38 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +14.40 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Phoenix Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2876007 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Glove Collection · profit 19.87₽ · invest 174.05₽
rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP9 | Sand Scale (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Terrain (Field-Tested)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Phoenix Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build