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The Dead Hand Collection + The Recoil Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +0.18$

Invest 4.14$

Average return 4.32$

ROI +4.5%

Chance of profit 36%

With float: invest 4.36 $, profit −0.03 $

float premium: none: float doesn't matter

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

100% of lots fit ≈ enough for 13 contracts · easy (by listings)

×9

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

any lot

3.93 $

at 0.44

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me

Minimal Wear

any lot

0.21 $

at 0.21

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 4.14 $ +0.18 (+4.5%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Fusion

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

2.02 $

at 0.25

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

0.44 $

at 0.44

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

0.21 $

at 0.21

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 2.67 $ +1.66 (+62.1%)

What you get 10 outcomes

Profitable outcome 36%
Losing outcome 64%

in profit

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.150000

6.46 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Galil AR | Galigator

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.150000

3.72 $ 18.00%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Electrum

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.150000

9.55 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.150000

3.94 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.150000

3.13 $ 18.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ Dual Berettas | Flora Carnivora

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.150000

1.84 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.097500

1.06 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P90 | Vent Rush

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.105000

1.31 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Crazy 8

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.150000

1.79 $ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Dragon Tech

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.105000

1.49 $ 2.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Recoil Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 3 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 4 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 5 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 6 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −0.34 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.08 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Recoil Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2875845 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Fracture Collection · profit 0.18$ · invest 4.13$
StatTrak™ P90 | Freight (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2875949 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Gamma Collection · profit 0.18$ · invest 4.44$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | Harvester (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2875983 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Genesis Collection · profit 0.17$ · invest 4.48$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ P250 | Bullfrog (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2873214 · The Clutch Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 0.17$ · invest 4.20$
rare inputs

StatTrak™ MP9 | Black Sand (Minimal Wear) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2874601 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 0.17$ · invest 4.24$
StatTrak™ Tec-9 | Fubar (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Negev | Drop Me (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Fragment (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.139543 instead of 0.150000

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Recoil Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 10 outcomes

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How to build