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The Dead Hand Collection + The Shadow Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −32 992.97₸

Invest at least 55 745.51₸

Average return 22 752.59₸

ROI −59.2%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 55 745.51 ₸, profit at most −32 992.97 ₸

float premium: at least 34 194 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×9

P250 | Kintsugi

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4799

18 399.09 ₸

at 2 044.34

Steam

×1

G3SG1 | Flux

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1625

3 405.52 ₸

at 3 405.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 21 804.61 ₸ +947.98 (+4.3%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 0%
About break-even 55%

in profit

best

AWP | Queen's Gambit

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

26 960.47 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

about break-even

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

25 554.65 ₸ 45.00%

Steam

about break-even

worst

M4A1-S | Golden Coil

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

24 629.07 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

about break-even

USP-S | Kill Confirmed

Well-Worn

float up to 0.449999

26 044.40 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Shadow Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 3 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 4 The Fracture Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Shadow Collection Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Shadow Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −2 176.67 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −91.26 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Shadow Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2876580 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection · profit 942.74₸ · invest 23 919.05₸
R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon (Field-Tested) instead of G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested); P250 | Kintsugi (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.478147 instead of 0.479935
Craft 2875805 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 911.58₸ · invest 20 696.48₸
rare inputs

SG 553 | Cyrex (Field-Tested) instead of G3SG1 | Flux (Field-Tested); P250 | Kintsugi (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.481853 instead of 0.479935

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Shadow Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

More

How to build