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The Dead Hand Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −724.91₴

Invest at least 1 857.77₴

Average return 1 132.85₴

ROI −39.0%

Chance of profit 27%

With float: invest at least 1 857.77 ₴, profit at most −724.91 ₴

float premium: at least 978 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1617

558.97 ₴

at 69.87

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Ziggy

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0740

185.54 ₴

at 92.77

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 744.51 ₴ +388.34 (+52.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −184 ₴

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1656

69.87 ₴

at 69.87

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ CZ75-Auto | Tacticat

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1656

57.50 ₴

at 57.50

Steam

×8

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Exposure

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

632.02 ₴

at 79.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 759.39 ₴ +39.07 (+5.2%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 33%
Losing outcome 60%
About break-even 7%

in profit

best

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Crane Flight

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

3 010.99 ₴ 26.67%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ P250 | Kintsugi

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

594.51 ₴ 26.67%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P90 | Deathgaze

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

632.46 ₴ 26.67%

Steam

about break-even

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

855.22 ₴ 6.67%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Leaded Glass

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.104999

970.89 ₴ 6.67%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.130499

763.77 ₴ 6.67%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

Variant 2 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Recoil Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 5 The Dreams & Nightmares Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 6 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +243.52 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +388.11 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Spectrum 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2875801 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 441.50₴ · invest 723.78₴
rare inputs

StatTrak™ P2000 | Handgun (Field-Tested), StatTrak™ Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Ziggy (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161896 instead of 0.161772
Craft 2870260 · The Chroma 2 Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 407.04₴ · invest 713.50₴
StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Grand Prix (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ XM1014 | Ziggy (Minimal Wear); StatTrak™ MP7 | Amberline (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167968 instead of 0.161772

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build