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The Dead Hand Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −215.99₽

Invest at least 960.21₽

Average return 744.22₽

ROI −22.5%

Chance of profit 10%

With float: invest at least 960.21 ₽, profit at most −215.99 ₽

float premium: at least 552 ₽

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

153.20 ₽

at 19.15

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0747

254.94 ₽

at 127.47

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 408.14 ₽ +336.08 (+82.3%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0785

153.20 ₽

at 19.15

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Fragment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0074

63.43 ₽

at 63.43

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0785

127.47 ₽

at 127.47

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 344.10 ₽ +218.88 (+63.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

UMP-45 | Fragment

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

38.30 ₽

at 19.15

Steam

×1

MP9 | Dart

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

104.78 ₽

at 104.78

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0758

892.29 ₽

at 127.47

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 035.37 ₽ +796.30 (+76.9%)

What you get 9 outcomes

Profitable outcome 47%
Losing outcome 48%
About break-even 5%

in profit

Desert Eagle | Firebreathing

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

515.16 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

Galil AR | Galigator

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

357.55 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Electrum

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

611.41 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

MP7 | Amberline

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

343.90 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Urban Sovereign

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

366.96 ₽ 16.00%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.036099

718.86 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Griffin

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

6 687.04 ₽ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.047599

2 228.12 ₽ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

about break-even

Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

459.10 ₽ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Vanguard Collection

Variant 2 only The Vanguard Collection Variant 3 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 4 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 5 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection Variant 6 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Dead Hand Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +212.14 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +290.02 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Vanguard Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Vanguard Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 9 outcomes

More

How to build