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The Dead Hand Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Classified → Covert

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −82.60$

Invest at least 187.72$

Average return 105.12$

ROI −44.0%

Chance of profit 5%

With float: invest at least 187.72 $, profit at most −82.60 $

float premium: at least 103 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×8

P90 | Deathgaze

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

46.46 $

at 5.81

Steam

×1

P90 | Deathgaze

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

11.20 $

at 11.20

Steam

×1

P250 | Mehndi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

20.00 $

at 20.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 77.66 $ +27.46 (+35.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −14 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

P90 | Deathgaze

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

40.65 $

at 5.81

Steam

×1

P250 | Mehndi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

18.08 $

at 18.08

Steam

×2

P250 | Mehndi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

40.00 $

at 20.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 98.73 $ +15.51 (+15.7%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −31 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×6

P90 | Deathgaze

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

34.84 $

at 5.81

Steam

×2

P250 | Mehndi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

36.16 $

at 18.08

Steam

×2

P250 | Mehndi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

40.00 $

at 20.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 111.00 $ +7.80 (+7.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −48 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

P90 | Deathgaze

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

29.04 $

at 5.81

Steam

×3

P250 | Mehndi

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1683

54.23 $

at 18.08

Steam

×2

P250 | Mehndi

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

40.00 $

at 20.00

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 123.27 $ +0.09 (+0.1%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 100%
Losing outcome 0%

in profit

AWP | Queen's Gambit

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

116.31 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

Glock-18 | Fully Tuned

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

114.98 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | Asiimov

Field-Tested

float up to 0.302999

222.99 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

worst

Sawed-Off | The Kraken

Factory New

float up to 0.059999

113.16 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Variant 2 The Prisma Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 3 The Kilowatt Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 4 The Fracture Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 5 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 6 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +14.89 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +23.47 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The Winter Offensive Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 4 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2875937 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 29.11$ · invest 72.04$
rare inputs

MP9 | Airlock (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2867432 · The Breakout Collection + The Dead Hand Collection · profit 28.55$ · invest 81.28$
rare inputs

Desert Eagle | Conspiracy (Factory New) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear); P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163885 instead of 0.168399; P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074829 instead of 0.076399
Craft 2875804 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 28.03$ · invest 67.61$
rare inputs

SG 553 | Cyrex (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear)
Craft 2875903 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Gallery Collection · profit 27.79$ · invest 67.99$
rare inputs

P250 | Epicenter (Minimal Wear) instead of P250 | Mehndi (Minimal Wear); P90 | Deathgaze (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166225 instead of 0.168399; P90 | Deathgaze (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.075643 instead of 0.076399

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build