to all crafts

The Dead Hand Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +7.27$

Invest 26.88$

Average return 34.15$

ROI +27.0%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 66.15 $, profit at most −32.01 $

float premium: at least 38 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×9

Galil AR | Galigator

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

17.22 $

at 1.91

Steam

×1

P90 | Blind Spot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

9.65 $

at 9.65

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 26.88 $ +7.27 (+27.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −9 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

Galil AR | Galigator

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

0.97 $

at 0.97

Steam

×7

Galil AR | Galigator

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

13.40 $

at 1.91

Steam

×2

P90 | Blind Spot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

19.31 $

at 9.65

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 33.67 $ +3.92 (+11.6%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

in profit

AK-47 | Crane Flight

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

59.47 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P250 | Kintsugi

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

22.63 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

P90 | Deathgaze

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

23.83 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

AWP | Electric Hive

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

74.65 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

Desert Eagle | Cobalt Disruption

Factory New

float up to 0.013999

100.10 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Afterimage

Factory New

float up to 0.046599

49.95 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Dead Hand Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 3 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 4 The Overpass Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection Variant 6 The Horizon Collection instead of The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +1.90 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +5.83 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Dead Hand Collection and The eSports 2013 Winter Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2876726 · The Dead Hand Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 7.18$ · invest 24.95$
rare inputs

Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New) instead of P90 | Blind Spot (Factory New)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Dead Hand Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

How to build i Ways to build 2 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build