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The Falchion Collection + The Horizon Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +1.17$

Invest 8.79$

Average return 9.95$

ROI +13.3%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 21.26 $, profit at most −11.31 $

float premium: at least 11 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×3

P2000 | Handgun

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4802

2.07 $

at 0.69

Steam

×6

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1626

5.93 $

at 0.99

Steam

×1

CZ75-Auto | Eco

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4802

0.78 $

at 0.78

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 8.79 $ +1.17 (+13.3%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 67%
About break-even 3%

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Field-Tested

float up to 0.218749

5.94 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

24.92 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

SG 553 | Cyrex

Field-Tested

float up to 0.218749

5.05 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Eye of Athena

Field-Tested

float up to 0.153124

5.19 $ 3.33%

Steam

about break-even

M4A1-S | Nightmare

Field-Tested

float up to 0.218749

9.83 $ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Field-Tested

float up to 0.174999

5.14 $ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Horizon Collection

Variant 2 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Overpass Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 only The Horizon Collection Variant 6 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −0.49 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.61 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Horizon Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2878870 · The Falchion Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 1.20$ · invest 9.18$
rare inputs

M249 | Nebula Crusader (Battle-Scarred) instead of CZ75-Auto | Eco (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 2871516 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 1.20$ · invest 9.30$
rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Well-Worn) instead of CZ75-Auto | Eco (Battle-Scarred); P2000 | Handgun (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.492233 instead of 0.480253; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167661 instead of 0.162651
Craft 2863461 · The Arabesque Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 1.16$ · invest 10.28$
rare inputs

P250 | Lotus Imprint (Battle-Scarred) instead of CZ75-Auto | Eco (Battle-Scarred)
Craft 2879046 · The Falchion Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 1.14$ · invest 9.89$
rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Field-Tested) instead of CZ75-Auto | Eco (Battle-Scarred); P2000 | Handgun (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.480229 instead of 0.480253; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162641 instead of 0.162651
Craft 2878485 · The Falchion Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 1.14$ · invest 8.91$
rare inputs

Nova | Toy Soldier (Well-Worn) instead of CZ75-Auto | Eco (Battle-Scarred); FAMAS | Eye of Athena: Minimal Wear instead of Field-Tested; P2000 | Handgun (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.486685 instead of 0.480253; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165341 instead of 0.162651
Craft 2871517 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 1.14$ · invest 9.39$
rare inputs

XM1014 | Black Tie (Field-Tested) instead of CZ75-Auto | Eco (Battle-Scarred); P2000 | Handgun (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.483076 instead of 0.480253; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163832 instead of 0.162651
Craft 2878364 · The Falchion Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 1.13$ · invest 9.38$
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Powercore (Field-Tested) instead of CZ75-Auto | Eco (Battle-Scarred); P2000 | Handgun (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.480865 instead of 0.480253; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162907 instead of 0.162651
Craft 2878895 · The Falchion Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 1.11$ · invest 9.72$
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Embargo (Battle-Scarred) instead of CZ75-Auto | Eco (Battle-Scarred)

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Horizon Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build