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The Falchion Collection + The Horizon Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +51.10₴

Invest 400.64₴

Average return 451.74₴

ROI +12.8%

Chance of profit 30%

With float: invest at least 968.07 ₴, profit at most −516.33 ₴

float premium: at least 520 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×3

P2000 | Handgun

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4866

93.25 ₴

at 31.08

Steam

×6

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

266.73 ₴

at 44.45

Steam

×1

Nova | Toy Soldier

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3846

40.66 ₴

at 40.66

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 400.64 ₴ +51.10 (+12.8%)

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×2

P2000 | Handgun

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4866

62.17 ₴

at 31.08

Steam

×6

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

266.73 ₴

at 44.45

Steam

×1

CZ75-Auto | Eco

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4866

34.96 ₴

at 34.96

Steam

×1

Nova | Toy Soldier

Well-Worn

buy 0.3800–0.3846

40.66 ₴

at 40.66

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 404.52 ₴ +31.07 (+7.7%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 30%
Losing outcome 67%
About break-even 3%

at a loss

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Field-Tested

float up to 0.214285

267.00 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.068571

1 120.25 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

SG 553 | Cyrex

Field-Tested

float up to 0.214285

227.00 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

FAMAS | Eye of Athena

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

384.00 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

about break-even

M4A1-S | Nightmare

Field-Tested

float up to 0.214285

441.79 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Field-Tested

float up to 0.171428

231.07 ₴ 3.33%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Horizon Collection

Variant 2 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 4 The Overpass Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 5 only The Horizon Collection Variant 6 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −23.49 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +26.30 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Horizon Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 8 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2878870 · The Falchion Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 54.16₴ · invest 412.53₴
rare inputs

M249 | Nebula Crusader (Battle-Scarred) instead of Nova | Toy Soldier (Well-Worn); P2000 | Handgun (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.480253 instead of 0.486685; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162651 instead of 0.165341
Craft 2871516 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 54.04₴ · invest 418.07₴
rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Red Astor (Well-Worn) instead of Nova | Toy Soldier (Well-Worn); P2000 | Handgun (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.492233 instead of 0.486685; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.167661 instead of 0.165341
Craft 2878484 · The Falchion Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 52.44₴ · invest 394.94₴
rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Eco (Battle-Scarred) instead of Nova | Toy Soldier (Well-Worn); FAMAS | Eye of Athena: Field-Tested instead of Minimal Wear; P2000 | Handgun (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.480253 instead of 0.486685; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162651 instead of 0.165341
Craft 2863461 · The Arabesque Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 52.14₴ · invest 462.16₴
rare inputs

P250 | Lotus Imprint (Battle-Scarred) instead of Nova | Toy Soldier (Well-Worn); P2000 | Handgun (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.480253 instead of 0.486685; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162651 instead of 0.165341
Craft 2879046 · The Falchion Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 51.11₴ · invest 444.67₴
rare inputs

Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Toy Soldier (Well-Worn); P2000 | Handgun (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.480229 instead of 0.486685; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162641 instead of 0.165341
Craft 2871517 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 51.08₴ · invest 421.98₴
rare inputs

XM1014 | Black Tie (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Toy Soldier (Well-Worn); P2000 | Handgun (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.483076 instead of 0.486685; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163832 instead of 0.165341
Craft 2878364 · The Falchion Collection + The Gamma 2 Collection · profit 50.99₴ · invest 421.47₴
rare inputs

SCAR-20 | Powercore (Field-Tested) instead of Nova | Toy Soldier (Well-Worn); P2000 | Handgun (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.480865 instead of 0.486685; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162907 instead of 0.165341
Craft 2878895 · The Falchion Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 49.95₴ · invest 436.83₴
rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Embargo (Battle-Scarred) instead of Nova | Toy Soldier (Well-Worn); P2000 | Handgun (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.480253 instead of 0.486685; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162651 instead of 0.165341

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Horizon Collection

How to build i Ways to build 3 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build