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The Falchion Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +176.41₴

Invest 465.89₴

Average return 642.30₴

ROI +37.9%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 1 130.79 ₴, profit at most −488.49 ₴

float premium: at least 622 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Share of fitting lots unknown: the price is understated

×2

P2000 | Handgun

Battle-Scarred

buy 0.4500–0.4839

62.17 ₴

at 31.08

Steam

×7

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

311.18 ₴

at 44.45

Steam

×1

Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1641

92.54 ₴

at 92.54

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 465.89 ₴ +176.41 (+37.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

FAMAS | Neural Net

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1664

43.94 ₴

at 43.94

Steam

×4

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1664

177.82 ₴

at 44.45

Steam

×5

Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1664

462.70 ₴

at 92.54

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 684.45 ₴ +201.92 (+29.5%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

Negev | Loudmouth

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1645

88.91 ₴

at 44.45

Steam

×6

Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1645

555.23 ₴

at 92.54

Steam

×2

XM1014 | Monster Melt

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

370.15 ₴

at 185.07

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 014.29 ₴ +55.14 (+5.4%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

at a loss

worst

CZ75-Auto | Yellow Jacket

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

437.85 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

MP7 | Nemesis

Factory New

float up to 0.047999

1 120.25 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

SG 553 | Cyrex

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

447.32 ₴ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

AWP | Crakow!

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.149999

1 828.52 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

Zeus x27 | Dragon Snore

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.119999

911.84 ₴ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 4 The Horizon Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 5 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Overpass 2024 Collection Variant 6 The Shadow Collection instead of The Falchion Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +76.62 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +150.22 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Overpass 2024 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2856602 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Falchion Collection · profit 161.65₴ · invest 445.20₴
rare inputs

MAG-7 | Core Breach (Field-Tested) instead of Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.488336 instead of 0.483918; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166031 instead of 0.164184
Craft 2878893 · The Falchion Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 158.95₴ · invest 461.23₴
rare inputs

AUG | Arctic Wolf (Field-Tested) instead of Dual Berettas | Sweet Little Angels (Field-Tested); P2000 | Handgun (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.479801 instead of 0.483918; Negev | Loudmouth (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162462 instead of 0.164184

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

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How to build