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The Falchion Collection + The Safehouse Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +60.75₴

Invest 329.07₴

Average return 389.82₴

ROI +18.5%

Chance of profit 82%

With float: invest at least 806.73 ₴, profit at most −416.91 ₴

float premium: at least 482 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

≈2% of lots fit: the price is understated

×3

UMP-45 | Riot

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

111.74 ₴

at 37.25

Steam

×7

Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

217.33 ₴

at 31.05

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 329.07 ₴ +60.75 (+18.5%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 82%
Losing outcome 18%

in profit

M4A1-S | Nitro

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

449.54 ₴ 70.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

FAMAS | Neural Net

Factory New

float up to 0.008108

206.79 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

in profit

best

P2000 | Handgun

Factory New

float up to 0.013513

808.69 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

M4A4 | Evil Daimyo

Factory New

float up to 0.007026

323.00 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

at a loss

MP9 | Ruby Poison Dart

Factory New

float up to 0.006756

231.51 ₴ 6.00%

Steam

in profit

Negev | Loudmouth

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.146891

657.04 ₴ 6.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Falchion Collection + The Safehouse Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection Variant 4 The Gamma 2 Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection Variant 5 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Falchion Collection Variant 6 The Prisma Collection instead of The Safehouse Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −9.34 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +24.29 ₴ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Falchion Collection and The Safehouse Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 5 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2882428 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 74.48₴ · invest 335.38₴
XM1014 | Slipstream (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005750 instead of 0.006202
Craft 2886046 · The Horizon Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 70.10₴ · invest 330.39₴
rare inputs

Dual Berettas | Shred (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): 8 pcs instead of 7; Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005630 instead of 0.006202
Craft 2865235 · The Ascent Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 66.79₴ · invest 326.90₴
P2000 | Royal Baroque (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): 8 pcs instead of 7; Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005791 instead of 0.006202
Craft 2890140 · The Phoenix Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 58.74₴ · invest 312.03₴
rare inputs

UMP-45 | Corporal (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | Heaven Guard (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): 6 pcs instead of 7; Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.004415 instead of 0.006202
Craft 2891331 · The Radiant Collection + The Safehouse Collection · profit 57.07₴ · invest 314.67₴
M4A1-S | Rose Hex (Factory New) instead of UMP-45 | Riot (Factory New); Five-SeveN | Silver Quartz (Factory New): float at most 0.005750 instead of 0.006202

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Falchion Collection + The Safehouse Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build