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The Fever Collection + The Fracture Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +42.34$

Invest 63.13$

Average return 105.47$

ROI +67.1%

Chance of profit 90%

With float: invest at least 154.54 $, profit at most −49.08 $

float premium: at least 91 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1628

5.27 $

at 5.27

Steam

×7

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

45.00 $

at 6.43

Steam

×2

XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

12.86 $

at 6.43

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 63.13 $ +42.34 (+67.1%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1705

10.54 $

at 5.27

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0771

25.71 $

at 6.43

Steam

×4

XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0062

25.71 $

at 6.43

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 61.97 $ +32.19 (+51.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1692

5.27 $

at 5.27

Steam

×3

XM1014 | Entombed

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0767

13.00 $

at 4.33

Steam

×6

XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0058

38.57 $

at 6.43

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 56.84 $ +9.03 (+15.9%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

UMP-45 | K.O. Factory

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1670

10.54 $

at 5.27

Steam

×2

XM1014 | Entombed

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

8.67 $

at 4.33

Steam

×6

XM1014 | Entombed

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0051

38.57 $

at 6.43

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 57.78 $ +13.75 (+23.8%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 90%
Losing outcome 10%

in profit

best

AWP | Printstream

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

176.59 $ 40.00%

Steam

in profit

FAMAS | Bad Trip

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

92.00 $ 40.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

worst

AK-47 | Legion of Anubis

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

56.75 $ 10.00%

Steam

in profit

Desert Eagle | Printstream

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

81.76 $ 10.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fever Collection + The Fracture Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 3 The Prisma Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 4 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 5 The Prisma Collection instead of The Fever Collection Variant 6 The Gamma Collection instead of The Fracture Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +29.90 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +37.61 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fever Collection and The Fracture Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2879421 · The Fever Collection + The Kilowatt Collection · profit 34.24$ · invest 63.83$
sells slowly

Zeus x27 | Olympus (Minimal Wear), Zeus x27 | Olympus (Factory New) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Factory New); UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162737 instead of 0.162896; UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear): 4 pcs instead of 7; UMP-45 | K.O. Factory (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074430 instead of 0.074485

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fever Collection + The Fracture Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build