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The Fracture Collection + The Prisma Collection

Classified → Covert

Average profit +0.09$

Invest 52.22$

Average return 52.31$

ROI +0.2%

Chance of profit 90%

With float: invest 53.60 $, profit −1.29 $

float premium: none: float doesn't matter

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

100% of lots fit ≈ enough for 11 contracts · easy (by listings)

×1

XM1014 | Entombed

Field-Tested

any lot

3.80 $

at 3.80

Steam

×9

AUG | Momentum

Battle-Scarred

any lot

48.42 $

at 5.38

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 52.22 $ +0.09 (+0.2%)

What you get 4 outcomes

Profitable outcome 45%
Losing outcome 10%
About break-even 45%

about break-even

Five-SeveN | Angry Mob

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.683200

60.94 $ 45.00%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A4 | The Emperor

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.780800

64.52 $ 45.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

AK-47 | Legion of Anubis

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.683200

36.19 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

Desert Eagle | Printstream

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.780800

37.87 $ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Fracture Collection + The Prisma Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Prisma Collection Variant 4 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 5 The Shadow Collection instead of The Fracture Collection Variant 6 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Fracture Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −6.88 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −2.61 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Fracture Collection and The Prisma Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 2 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2873908 · The Clutch Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 0.09$ · invest 51.87$
sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Stymphalian (Well-Worn) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Field-Tested); Five-SeveN | Angry Mob: Field-Tested instead of Battle-Scarred; M4A4 | The Emperor: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; AUG | Momentum (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.512770 instead of 1.000000
Craft 2885919 · The Horizon Collection + The Prisma Collection · profit 0.09$ · invest 53.48$
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Devourer (Battle-Scarred) instead of XM1014 | Entombed (Field-Tested); Five-SeveN | Angry Mob: Field-Tested instead of Battle-Scarred; M4A4 | The Emperor: Well-Worn instead of Battle-Scarred; AUG | Momentum (Battle-Scarred): float at most 0.554838 instead of 1.000000

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Fracture Collection + The Prisma Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 4 outcomes

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How to build