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The Horizon Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −38.92$

Invest at least 117.49$

Average return 78.56$

ROI −33.1%

Chance of profit 27%

With float: invest at least 117.49 $, profit at most −38.92 $

float premium: at least 67 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

CZ75-Auto | Eco

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

4.42 $

at 1.10

Steam

×4

AWP | PAW

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

30.82 $

at 7.70

Steam

×2

Nova | Rising Skull

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

15.46 $

at 7.73

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 50.69 $ +27.87 (+55.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −18 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

CZ75-Auto | Eco

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1649

3.31 $

at 1.10

Steam

×1

Nova | Rising Skull

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0752

5.80 $

at 5.80

Steam

×6

Nova | Rising Skull

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

46.37 $

at 7.73

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 55.48 $ +2.07 (+3.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

CZ75-Auto | Eco

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

4.42 $

at 1.10

Steam

×5

AWP | PAW

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

38.52 $

at 7.70

Steam

×1

Nova | Rising Skull

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

7.73 $

at 7.73

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 50.67 $ +32.10 (+63.4%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

CZ75-Auto | Eco

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

4.42 $

at 1.10

Steam

×3

AWP | PAW

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

23.11 $

at 7.70

Steam

×3

Nova | Rising Skull

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

23.18 $

at 7.73

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 50.71 $ +23.65 (+46.6%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

CZ75-Auto | Eco

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

4.42 $

at 1.10

Steam

×2

AWP | PAW

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

15.41 $

at 7.70

Steam

×4

Nova | Rising Skull

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

30.91 $

at 7.73

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 50.74 $ +19.42 (+38.3%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 33%
Losing outcome 60%
About break-even 7%

at a loss

FAMAS | Eye of Athena

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

30.46 $ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

best

M4A1-S | Nightmare

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

252.72 $ 26.67%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Sawed-Off | Devourer

Factory New

float up to 0.055999

16.86 $ 26.67%

Steam

about break-even

AWP | Redline

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.120999

57.50 $ 6.67%

Steam

in profit

M4A1-S | Guardian

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

69.47 $ 6.67%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

P250 | Mehndi

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

28.11 $ 6.67%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Horizon Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

Variant 2 The Operation Broken Fang Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 4 The Overpass Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection Variant 5 only The Horizon Collection Variant 6 The Huntsman Collection instead of The Winter Offensive Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +13.97 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +23.31 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Horizon Collection and The Winter Offensive Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 12 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2884186 · The Glove Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 35.60$ · invest 48.15$
sells slowly rare inputs

Nova | Gila (Factory New) instead of Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New); CZ75-Auto | Eco (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161814 instead of 0.163068; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.003595 instead of 0.003977
Craft 2885712 · The Horizon Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit 35.18$ · invest 54.45$
sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Torque (Factory New) instead of Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New); AWP | PAW (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 4
Craft 2885822 · The Horizon Collection + The Operation Riptide Collection · profit 34.82$ · invest 46.87$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Factory New) instead of Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New); CZ75-Auto | Eco (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163609 instead of 0.163068; AWP | PAW (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 4; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.004141 instead of 0.003977
Craft 2886175 · The Horizon Collection + The Spy Tech Collection · profit 34.40$ · invest 53.10$
sells slowly rare inputs

CZ75-Auto | Hydraulics (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New); CZ75-Auto | Eco (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 4; CZ75-Auto | Eco (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166322 instead of 0.163068; AWP | PAW (Factory New): 5 pcs instead of 4; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.004967 instead of 0.003977
Craft 2885940 · The Horizon Collection + The Radiant Collection · profit 32.78$ · invest 44.78$
sells slowly

USP-S | Bleeding Edge (Factory New) instead of Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New); CZ75-Auto | Eco (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163609 instead of 0.163068; AWP | PAW (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 4; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.004141 instead of 0.003977
Craft 2886073 · The Horizon Collection + The Shattered Web Collection · profit 30.33$ · invest 51.09$
sells slowly rare inputs

AUG | Arctic Wolf (Minimal Wear), P2000 | Obsidian (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New); CZ75-Auto | Eco (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 4; CZ75-Auto | Eco (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161613 instead of 0.163068; AWP | PAW (Factory New): 5 pcs instead of 4; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.003534 instead of 0.003977
Craft 2872716 · The Chroma Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 29.10$ · invest 43.77$
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Serenity (Factory New) instead of Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New); AWP | PAW (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 4
Craft 2886217 · The Horizon Collection + The Wildfire Collection · profit 29.08$ · invest 45.09$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Praetorian (Factory New) instead of Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New); CZ75-Auto | Eco (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162730 instead of 0.163068; AWP | PAW (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 4; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.003874 instead of 0.003977
Craft 2861094 · The Achroma Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 28.61$ · invest 44.86$
sells slowly

Glock-18 | Trace Lock (Factory New) instead of Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New); CZ75-Auto | Eco (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164024 instead of 0.163068; AWP | PAW (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 4; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.004268 instead of 0.003977
Craft 2886164 · The Horizon Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 28.61$ · invest 37.72$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Factory New) instead of Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New); CZ75-Auto | Eco (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164269 instead of 0.163068; AWP | PAW (Factory New): 2 pcs instead of 4; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.004343 instead of 0.003977
Craft 2885841 · The Horizon Collection + The Overpass 2024 Collection · profit 27.63$ · invest 49.17$
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Monster Melt (Factory New) instead of Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New); CZ75-Auto | Eco (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164197 instead of 0.163068; AWP | PAW (Factory New): 3 pcs instead of 4; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.004320 instead of 0.003977
Craft 2855993 · The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Horizon Collection · profit 26.88$ · invest 49.15$
sells slowly rare inputs

P250 | Vino Primo (Minimal Wear) instead of Nova | Rising Skull (Factory New); CZ75-Auto | Eco (Field-Tested): 3 pcs instead of 4; CZ75-Auto | Eco (Field-Tested): float at most 0.166322 instead of 0.163068; AWP | PAW (Factory New): 5 pcs instead of 4; AWP | PAW (Factory New): float at most 0.004967 instead of 0.003977

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Horizon Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

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How to build