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The Recoil Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −16.75$

Invest at least 41.67$

Average return 24.93$

ROI −40.2%

Chance of profit 0%

With float: invest at least 41.67 $, profit at most −16.75 $

float premium: at least 24 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

3.44 $

at 1.15

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0036

10.30 $

at 2.06

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Phantom

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

1.85 $

at 1.85

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Ziggy

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

2.06 $

at 2.06

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 17.66 $ +7.27 (+41.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −0 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0069

8.24 $

at 2.06

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Ziggy

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0779

10.32 $

at 2.06

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Exposure

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0069

3.50 $

at 3.50

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 22.05 $ +7.33 (+33.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0068

6.18 $

at 2.06

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Ziggy

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0778

10.32 $

at 2.06

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Exposure

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0068

6.99 $

at 3.50

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 23.49 $ +7.01 (+29.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

4.12 $

at 2.06

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Ziggy

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0776

10.32 $

at 2.06

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Exposure

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0067

10.49 $

at 3.50

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 24.93 $ +6.68 (+26.8%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −5 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0066

2.06 $

at 2.06

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Ziggy

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0775

10.32 $

at 2.06

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Exposure

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0066

13.98 $

at 3.50

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 26.36 $ +6.36 (+24.1%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 73%
Losing outcome 27%

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Ice Coaled

Factory New

float up to 0.045970

40.14 $ 26.67%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions

Factory New

float up to 0.041790

14.26 $ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Factory New

float up to 0.059701

23.93 $ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ PP-Bizon | High Roller

Factory New

float up to 0.059701

43.11 $ 6.67%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Leaded Glass

Factory New

float up to 0.041790

34.85 $ 6.67%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ R8 Revolver | Llama Cannon

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

38.77 $ 6.67%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Minimal Wear) × 3 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.26 3.44 → 7.77 $

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Factory New) × 5 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.47 10.30 → 25.44 $

StatTrak™ SG 553 | Phantom (Minimal Wear) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 1.85 → 4.01 $

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Ziggy (Minimal Wear) × 1 5% of the wear range fits at least ×2.16 2.06 → 4.46 $

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.059701393

outcomes come out up to 0.045970, 0.041790, 0.059701, 0.059701, 0.041790, 0.069999

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Recoil Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 4 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 5 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection Variant 6 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Spectrum 2 Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +3.92 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +6.43 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Recoil Collection and The Spectrum 2 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Recoil Collection + The Spectrum 2 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build