to all crafts

The Recoil Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Restricted → Classified

Average profit +29.89$

Invest 20.10$

Average return 49.99$

ROI +148.7%

Chance of profit 50%

With float: invest at least 46.71 $, profit at most +3.28 $

float premium: at least 27 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

M249 | Downtown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0045

7.16 $

at 1.43

Steam

×2

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1649

4.37 $

at 2.19

Steam

×3

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1649

8.56 $

at 2.85

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 20.10 $ +29.89 (+148.7%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

SG 553 | Dragon Tech

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

2.43 $

at 0.81

Steam

×5

M249 | Downtown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

7.16 $

at 1.43

Steam

×2

Zeus x27 | Charged Up

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1671

4.37 $

at 2.19

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 13.97 $ +12.99 (+93.0%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

M249 | Downtown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

1.43 $

at 1.43

Steam

×6

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

17.13 $

at 2.85

Steam

×3

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

27.60 $

at 9.20

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 46.16 $ +34.54 (+74.8%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

M249 | Downtown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

2.87 $

at 1.43

Steam

×6

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1653

17.13 $

at 2.85

Steam

×2

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

18.40 $

at 9.20

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 38.39 $ +34.63 (+90.2%)

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

M249 | Downtown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

4.30 $

at 1.43

Steam

×6

Tec-9 | Whiteout

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1652

17.13 $

at 2.85

Steam

×1

MAC-10 | Derailment

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

9.20 $

at 9.20

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 30.63 $ +34.72 (+113.3%)

What you get 5 outcomes

Profitable outcome 50%
Losing outcome 50%

in profit

best

M4A4 | Hellish

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

141.23 $ 25.00%

Steam

in profit

MP9 | Latte Rush

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

62.03 $ 25.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

AK-47 | Ice Coaled

Factory New

float up to 0.053899

15.20 $ 16.67%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P250 | Visions

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

10.23 $ 16.67%

Steam

at a loss

Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

14.61 $ 16.67%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Recoil Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

Variant 2 only The Train 2025 Collection Variant 3 The eSports 2013 Winter Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 4 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 5 The Wildfire Collection instead of The Recoil Collection Variant 6 The Vanguard Collection instead of The Recoil Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +20.83 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +25.86 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Recoil Collection and The Train 2025 Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 13 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2882572 · The Gamma 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 34.82$ · invest 23.88$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | Petroglyph (Factory New) instead of M249 | Downtown (Factory New); Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163036 instead of 0.164970; Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163036 instead of 0.164970
Craft 2883379 · The Gamma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 33.83$ · invest 26.73$
sells slowly rare inputs

Sawed-Off | Limelight (Minimal Wear), P90 | Chopper (Factory New) instead of M249 | Downtown (Factory New); Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 2; Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162712 instead of 0.164970; Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 3; Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162712 instead of 0.164970
Craft 2877756 · The Dreams & Nightmares Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 32.25$ · invest 18.62$
sells slowly

XM1014 | Zombie Offensive (Factory New) instead of M249 | Downtown (Factory New); Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163693 instead of 0.164970; Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163693 instead of 0.164970
Craft 2879932 · The Fever Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 31.13$ · invest 20.93$
sells slowly

Zeus x27 | Tosai (Factory New) instead of M249 | Downtown (Factory New); Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165310 instead of 0.164970; Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.165310 instead of 0.164970
Craft 2893617 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 30.94$ · invest 24.21$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) instead of M249 | Downtown (Factory New); Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164169 instead of 0.164970; Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164169 instead of 0.164970
Craft 2887564 · The Kilowatt Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 30.88$ · invest 19.21$
sells slowly

Sawed-Off | Analog Input (Factory New) instead of M249 | Downtown (Factory New); Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164739 instead of 0.164970; Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164739 instead of 0.164970
Craft 2874247 · The Clutch Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 30.61$ · invest 20.37$
sells slowly rare inputs

Negev | Lionfish (Factory New) instead of M249 | Downtown (Factory New); Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164169 instead of 0.164970; Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164169 instead of 0.164970
Craft 2893447 · The Snakebite Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 29.48$ · invest 21.45$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Button Masher (Minimal Wear), Negev | dev_texture (Factory New) instead of M249 | Downtown (Factory New); Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 2; Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162977 instead of 0.164970; Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 3; Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162977 instead of 0.164970
Craft 2893618 · The Spectrum 2 Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 28.51$ · invest 23.61$
sells slowly rare inputs

UMP-45 | Exposure (Factory New) instead of M249 | Downtown (Factory New); Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164168 instead of 0.164970; Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): 2 pcs instead of 3; Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.164168 instead of 0.164970
Craft 2875606 · The Danger Zone Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 27.79$ · invest 23.36$
sells slowly rare inputs

MAC-10 | Pipe Down (Minimal Wear), G3SG1 | Scavenger (Factory New) instead of M249 | Downtown (Factory New); Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 2; Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161875 instead of 0.164970; Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 3; Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.161875 instead of 0.164970
Craft 2891117 · The Prisma Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 27.14$ · invest 21.21$
sells slowly

UMP-45 | Moonrise (Factory New) instead of M249 | Downtown (Factory New); Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162535 instead of 0.164970; Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162535 instead of 0.164970
Craft 2880813 · The Fracture Collection + The Train 2025 Collection · profit 27.00$ · invest 21.38$
sells slowly

MAC-10 | Allure (Minimal Wear), MP5-SD | Kitbash (Factory New) instead of M249 | Downtown (Factory New); Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested): 1 pcs instead of 2; Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163617 instead of 0.164970; Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): 4 pcs instead of 3; Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.163617 instead of 0.164970
Craft 2894112 · The Train 2025 Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection · profit 26.81$ · invest 35.65$
sells slowly rare inputs

Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Minimal Wear), P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear) instead of M249 | Downtown (Factory New), Zeus x27 | Charged Up (Field-Tested); Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): 5 pcs instead of 3; Tec-9 | Whiteout (Field-Tested): float at most 0.162881 instead of 0.164970

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Recoil Collection + The Train 2025 Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 5 outcomes

More

How to build