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The Recoil Collection + The Wildfire Collection

StatTrak™ Restricted → Classified

Average profit +6.29$

Invest 17.48$

Average return 23.77$

ROI +36.0%

Chance of profit 40%

With float: invest at least 41.22 $, profit at most −17.45 $

float premium: at least 24 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×5

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0770

5.73 $

at 1.15

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0061

8.24 $

at 2.06

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Triumvirate

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1701

3.51 $

at 3.51

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 17.48 $ +6.29 (+36.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −27 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

4.12 $

at 2.06

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Triumvirate

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

42.52 $

at 6.07

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

9.57 $

at 9.57

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 56.20 $ +3.89 (+6.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −34 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

2.06 $

at 2.06

Steam

×7

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Triumvirate

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0763

42.52 $

at 6.07

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0055

19.14 $

at 9.57

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 63.71 $ +1.57 (+2.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −14 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0050

8.24 $

at 2.06

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Praetorian

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

14.11 $

at 4.70

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Triumvirate

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0757

18.22 $

at 6.07

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 40.57 $ +9.14 (+22.5%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 40%
Losing outcome 60%

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Ice Coaled

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

40.14 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P250 | Visions

Factory New

float up to 0.063636

14.26 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Kiss♥Love

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.090908

9.69 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AWP | Elite Build

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.090908

48.01 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ Desert Eagle | Kumicho Dragon

Factory New

float up to 0.069090

108.30 $ 3.33%

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ Nova | Hyper Beast

Factory New

float up to 0.054545

86.82 $ 3.33%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Recoil Collection + The Wildfire Collection

Variant 2 The eSports 2013 Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 3 The Snakebite Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 4 The Revolver Case Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 5 The Spectrum Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection Variant 6 The Winter Offensive Collection instead of The Wildfire Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +2.90 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +5.49 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Recoil Collection and The Wildfire Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 1 craft almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2886479 · The Huntsman Collection + The Recoil Collection · profit 6.22$ · invest 20.37$
sells slowly rare inputs

StatTrak™ XM1014 | Heaven Guard (Field-Tested) instead of StatTrak™ Five-SeveN | Triumvirate (Field-Tested); StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076007 instead of 0.077011; StatTrak™ M249 | Downtown (Factory New): float at most 0.005256 instead of 0.006134

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Recoil Collection + The Wildfire Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build