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The Shadow Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Restricted → Classified

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit at most · with float −11 247.39₸

Invest at least 34 081.69₸

Average return 22 834.30₸

ROI −33.0%

Chance of profit 27%

With float: invest at least 34 081.69 ₸, profit at most −11 247.39 ₸

float premium: at least 19 811 ₸

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

8 159.52 ₸

at 1 165.65

Steam

×1

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0056

2 488.03 ₸

at 2 488.03

Steam

×2

P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0764

3 575.01 ₸

at 1 787.51

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 14 222.57 ₸ +8 611.73 (+60.5%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×7

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0775

8 159.52 ₸

at 1 165.65

Steam

×2

MP7 | Special Delivery

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0066

4 976.06 ₸

at 2 488.03

Steam

×1

P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0775

1 787.51 ₸

at 1 787.51

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 14 923.09 ₸ +9 429.34 (+63.2%)

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

MP7 | Special Delivery

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

1 072.49 ₸

at 1 072.49

Steam

×5

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

5 828.23 ₸

at 1 165.65

Steam

×4

P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

7 150.02 ₸

at 1 787.51

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 14 050.74 ₸ +5 747.34 (+40.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 394 ₸

0% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1662

709.21 ₸

at 709.21

Steam

×2

M249 | Nebula Crusader

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

2 331.29 ₸

at 1 165.65

Steam

×1

P90 | Virus

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1662

1 041.68 ₸

at 1 041.68

Steam

×6

P90 | Virus

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0756

10 725.03 ₸

at 1 787.51

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 14 807.21 ₸ +436.58 (+3.0%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 58%
Losing outcome 42%

in profit

best

AK-47 | Frontside Misty

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

54 873.27 ₸ 26.67%

Steam

in profit

G3SG1 | Flux

Factory New

float up to 0.052941

21 230.55 ₸ 26.67%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

SSG 08 | Big Iron

Factory New

float up to 0.037646

13 149.53 ₸ 26.67%

Steam

at a loss

AUG | Bengal Tiger

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.103529

13 038.04 ₸ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

AWP | Corticera

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074117

9 804.67 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

P2000 | Corticera

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.074117

8 642.38 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

in profit

Nova | Bloomstick

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.103529

17 686.47 ₸ 5.00%

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Shadow Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 3 The Spy Tech Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 4 only The Shadow Collection Variant 5 The Shattered Web Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection Variant 6 The Spectrum Collection instead of The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +5 080.18 ₸ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +7 651.06 ₸ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Shadow Collection and The eSports 2014 Summer Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2889267 · The Operation Riptide Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 10 502.09₸ · invest 16 487.78₸
sells slowly rare inputs

MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Minimal Wear), MAG-7 | BI83 Spectrum (Factory New) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 7; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074316 instead of 0.076406; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): 2 pcs instead of 1; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.003776 instead of 0.005606
Craft 2893022 · The Shadow Collection + The Sport & Field Collection · profit 8 768.53₸ · invest 14 152.36₸
sells slowly rare inputs

MP7 | Special Delivery (Minimal Wear), UMP-45 | Crimson Foil (Factory New) instead of MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New), P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): 6 pcs instead of 7; M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074822 instead of 0.076406
Craft 2872155 · The Chroma 3 Collection + The Shadow Collection · profit 8 522.46₸ · invest 14 214.75₸
sells slowly rare inputs

XM1014 | Black Tie (Factory New) instead of P90 | Virus (Minimal Wear); M249 | Nebula Crusader (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.076101 instead of 0.076406; MP7 | Special Delivery (Factory New): float at most 0.005338 instead of 0.005606

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Shadow Collection + The eSports 2014 Summer Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

More

How to build