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The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

StatTrak™ Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +2.90$

Invest 16.99$

Average return 19.89$

ROI +17.1%

Chance of profit 28%

With float: invest at least 40.64 $, profit at most −20.75 $

float premium: at least 23 $

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1630

3.30 $

at 1.10

Steam

×6

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0745

10.31 $

at 1.72

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ Nova | Ghost Camo

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

3.37 $

at 3.37

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 16.99 $ +2.90 (+17.1%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −2 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1687

3.30 $

at 1.10

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0765

6.88 $

at 1.72

Steam

×3

StatTrak™ Nova | Ghost Camo

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0057

10.12 $

at 3.37

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 20.30 $ +1.70 (+8.4%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −0 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1658

3.30 $

at 1.10

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ UMP-45 | Delusion

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0754

8.60 $

at 1.72

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ Nova | Ghost Camo

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0048

6.75 $

at 3.37

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 18.64 $ +2.30 (+12.3%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1640

4.40 $

at 1.10

Steam

×2

StatTrak™ MP9 | Dart

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

3.95 $

at 1.98

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ Nova | Ghost Camo

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

13.49 $

at 3.37

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 21.85 $ +1.20 (+5.5%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −4 $

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

StatTrak™ MAG-7 | Firestarter

Field-Tested

buy 0.1500–0.1639

4.40 $

at 1.10

Steam

×1

StatTrak™ MP9 | Dart

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

1.98 $

at 1.98

Steam

×5

StatTrak™ Nova | Ghost Camo

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0042

16.86 $

at 3.37

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 23.24 $ +0.86 (+3.7%)

What you get 6 outcomes

Profitable outcome 28%
Losing outcome 73%

at a loss

StatTrak™ Glock-18 | Grinder

Factory New

float up to 0.043676

8.00 $ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Griffin

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.082352

12.92 $ 22.50%

Steam

in profit

best

StatTrak™ M4A1-S | Basilisk

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

58.97 $ 22.50%

Steam

at a loss

worst

StatTrak™ Sawed-Off | Highwayman

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.102941

6.74 $ 22.50%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

StatTrak™ AK-47 | Blue Laminate

Factory New

float up to 0.059117

50.57 $ 5.00%

Steam

at a loss

StatTrak™ P90 | Blind Spot

Factory New

float up to 0.051470

17.01 $ 5.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

Variant 2 only The Vanguard Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +0.29 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +2.36 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Vanguard Collection and The eSports 2013 Winter Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Vanguard Collection + The eSports 2013 Winter Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 6 outcomes

More

How to build