The Breakout Collection + The Huntsman Collection

StatTrak™ Covert → knife or gloves · Items in the contract: 5

Prices by float: ночной проверки нет, числа ниже — оценка с учётом float

Average profit · with float −4 025.00₴

Invest 16 555.45₴

Average return 12 530.45₴

ROI −24.3%

Chance of profit 20%

With float: invest 16 555.45 ₴, profit −4 025.00 ₴

float premium: none: float doesn't matter

The gain is understated: 1 outcome has no price, that is 6.2% of the chance

Sell on CSFloat / Market.CSGO: without them the profit is −6 779.31 ₴

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

100% of lots fit ≈ enough for 4 contracts · medium (by listings)

×1

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov

Well-Worn

any lot

9 246.63 ₴

at 9 246.63

Steam

×4

StatTrak™ M4A4 | Desert-Strike

Field-Tested

any lot

6 680.86 ₴

at 1 670.21

Steam

Set · 5 pcs 15 927.49 ₴ −3 397.04 (−21.3%)

What you get 26 outcomes

Profitable outcome 20%
Losing outcome 74%
Above the Steam cap 6%

Order

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.042568

16 221.95 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Slaughter

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.143027

17 173.07 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Blue Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.532111

7 787.82 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Stained

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.532111

6 062.76 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Case Hardened

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.532111

11 506.74 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Forest DDPAT

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.453762

3 925.32 ₴ 6.15%

sell on Market.CSGO price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Boreal Forest

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.453762

4 226.19 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Crimson Web

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.453762

7 959.42 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Night

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.453762

5 915.25 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Scorched

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.453762

not on Steam: above the cap 6.15%

pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

worst

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Safari Mesh

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.453762

3 590.84 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Urban Masked

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.453762

4 218.96 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

at a loss

★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife

no wear

10 608.66 ₴ 6.15%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

best

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Fade

Factory New

float up to 0.042568

85 073.72 ₴ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.143027

80 781.53 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Blue Steel

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.532111

31 422.54 ₴ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Stained

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.532111

40 652.82 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Case Hardened

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.532111

42 256.24 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Forest DDPAT

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.453762

23 806.83 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Boreal Forest

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.453762

25 361.37 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Crimson Web

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.453762

26 342.79 ₴ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat price cut pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Night

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.453762

29 737.77 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Scorched

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.453762

19 174.94 ₴ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Safari Mesh

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.453762

30 923.42 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Urban Masked

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.453762

29 219.92 ₴ 1.54%

price without deals pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

in profit

★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife

no wear

47 099.20 ₴ 1.54%

sell on CSFloat pricier variants exist lots by number

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The Breakout Collection + The Huntsman Collection

Variant 2 only The Huntsman Collection Variant 3 The Phoenix Collection instead of The Breakout Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −4 370.53 ₴ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week −3 477.51 ₴ historical median

2% of outcomes (by probability) have less than two weeks of price history, their price is taken as of today.

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The Breakout Collection and The Huntsman Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2897699 · The Huntsman Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit −3 397.04₴ · invest 15 927.49₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist
Craft 2897700 · The Huntsman Collection + The Breakout Collection · profit −3 484.05₴ · invest 15 986.23₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Well-Worn); ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Slaughter: Field-Tested instead of Minimal Wear; ★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter: Field-Tested instead of Minimal Wear
Craft 2897706 · The Breakout Collection + The Huntsman Collection · profit −3 484.05₴ · invest 15 986.23₴
no outcome price marketplace price sells slowly rare inputs pricier variants exist

StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Battle-Scarred) instead of StatTrak™ P90 | Asiimov (Well-Worn); ★ StatTrak™ Huntsman Knife | Slaughter: Field-Tested instead of Minimal Wear; ★ StatTrak™ Butterfly Knife | Slaughter: Field-Tested instead of Minimal Wear

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The Breakout Collection + The Huntsman Collection

How to build i Ways to build 1 way: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 26 outcomes

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How to build