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The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Lake Collection

Industrial Grade → Mil-Spec Grade

Average profit · by float −0.27$ by average prices it would be +0.06

Invest 0.53$

Average return 0.26$

ROI −50.6% market check 19.10 15:16 MSK

Chance of profit 5%

With float: invest 0.62 $, profit −0.13 $

float premium: none: float doesn't matter

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

100% of lots fit ≈ enough for 11 contracts · easy (by listings)

×1

MAC-10 | Calf Skin

Battle-Scarred

any lot

0.05 $

at 0.05

Steam

×1

PP-Bizon | Night Ops

Field-Tested

any lot

0.04 $

at 0.04

Steam

×8

PP-Bizon | Night Ops

Battle-Scarred

any lot

0.34 $

at 0.04

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 0.43 $ +0.06 (+13.1%)

What you get 7 outcomes

Profitable outcome 35%
Losing outcome 62%
About break-even 2%

at a loss

worst

P90 | Teardown

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.578000

0.14 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

SG 553 | Anodized Navy

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077066

1.33 $ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Night Ops

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.578000

0.22 $ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

M4A4 | Converter

Well-Worn

float up to 0.385333

0.78 $ 2.50%

Steam

in profit

Sawed-Off | Brake Light

Minimal Wear

float up to 0.077066

0.66 $ 2.50%

price without deals price cut

Steam

about break-even

SSG 08 | Hand Brake

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.963333

0.48 $ 2.50%

Steam

at a loss

USP-S | Check Engine

Battle-Scarred

float up to 0.578000

0.40 $ 2.50%

Steam

float markup by input how many times more the lots with the needed float cost

MAC-10 | Calf Skin (Battle-Scarred) × 1 100% of the wear range fits ×1.46 0.05 → 0.08 $

PP-Bizon | Night Ops (Field-Tested) × 1 100% of the wear range fits ×1.12 0.04 → 0.04 $

PP-Bizon | Night Ops (Battle-Scarred) × 8 100% of the wear range fits ×1.45 0.34 → 0.49 $

The markup is taken from a check of Steam 25–26.09.2026 listings. It shows how many times the needed number of cheapest listings with a fitting float cost more than the cheapest listing of this wear. It depends on the width of the float window and on the number of items.

Average float of the set

average normalized 0.963333333

outcomes come out up to 0.578000, 0.077066, 0.578000, 0.385333, 0.077066, 0.963333, 0.578000

Nightly market check The check was made at night. The «Check floats on Steam» button gives fresh data.

How to read float

«No higher than» — is a guarantee. The limits are calculated together: take all items with the float at the upper bound and you get exactly the result shown. With a lower float the result will be better.

f′ — the same float, brought to 0–1 by the skin's own range. CSFloat counts the same way.

I already have items

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Lake Collection

Variant 2 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The 2018 Inferno Collection Variant 3 The Train 2025 Collection instead of The Lake Collection Variant 4 The 2021 Mirage Collection instead of The Lake Collection Variant 5 The Arabesque Collection instead of The Lake Collection Variant 6 The 2018 Nuke Collection instead of The Lake Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week −0.01 $ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +0.04 $ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Inferno Collection and The Lake Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Inferno Collection + The Lake Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 7 outcomes

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How to build