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The 2018 Nuke Collection + The 2021 Train Collection

Mil-Spec Grade → Restricted

Average profit +617.62₽

Invest 1 288.27₽

Average return 1 905.89₽

ROI +47.9%

Chance of profit 34%

With float: invest at least 3 087.33 ₽, profit at most −1 181.44 ₽

float premium: at least 1 823 ₽

Check:

To calculator I have items + a third collection

Buy on Sell on

How to build

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×4

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0750

165.20 ₽

at 41.30

Steam

×5

P250 | Exchanger

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

873.55 ₽

at 174.71

Steam

×1

R8 Revolver | Blaze

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0044

249.52 ₽

at 249.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 288.27 ₽ +617.62 (+47.9%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −3 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

123.90 ₽

at 41.30

Steam

×5

P250 | Exchanger

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

873.55 ₽

at 174.71

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0759

170.68 ₽

at 170.68

Steam

×1

R8 Revolver | Blaze

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0052

249.52 ₽

at 249.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 417.65 ₽ +439.92 (+31.0%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −352 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×1

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

41.30 ₽

at 41.30

Steam

×5

P250 | Exchanger

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0046

873.55 ₽

at 174.71

Steam

×4

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0753

682.72 ₽

at 170.68

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 597.57 ₽ +163.37 (+10.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −163 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×3

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

123.90 ₽

at 41.30

Steam

×4

P250 | Exchanger

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

698.84 ₽

at 174.71

Steam

×1

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0744

170.68 ₽

at 170.68

Steam

×2

R8 Revolver | Blaze

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0039

499.04 ₽

at 249.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 492.46 ₽ +316.79 (+21.2%)

Profit on prices without sales: without them at least −536 ₽

Less than 1% of lots fit: not enough for a contract, the price is understated

×2

P90 | Facility Negative

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

82.60 ₽

at 41.30

Steam

×3

P250 | Exchanger

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

524.13 ₽

at 174.71

Steam

×2

UMP-45 | Full Stop

Minimal Wear

buy 0.0700–0.0741

341.36 ₽

at 170.68

Steam

×3

R8 Revolver | Blaze

Factory New

buy 0.0000–0.0035

748.56 ₽

at 249.52

Steam

Set · 10 pcs 1 696.65 ₽ +15.97 (+0.9%)

What you get 8 outcomes

Profitable outcome 34%
Losing outcome 64%
About break-even 2%

at a loss

AUG | Random Access

Factory New

float up to 0.034999

1 049.87 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

in profit

best

Glock-18 | Nuclear Garden

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

4 412.04 ₽ 30.00%

Steam

at a loss

MAG-7 | Core Breach

Factory New

float up to 0.069999

1 280.11 ₽ 30.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

AWP | POP AWP

Factory New

float up to 0.030799

2 883.79 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

about break-even

CZ75-Auto | Syndicate

Factory New

float up to 0.048999

1 454.02 ₽ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

in profit

P2000 | Space Race

Factory New

float up to 0.041999

1 876.45 ₽ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

at a loss

MP5-SD | Autumn Twilly

Factory New

float up to 0.040599

1 360.88 ₽ 2.00%

Steam

at a loss

worst

Nova | Red Quartz

Factory New

float up to 0.027999

883.27 ₽ 2.00%

price without deals

Steam

Craft variants

Variant 1 this one The 2018 Nuke Collection + The 2021 Train Collection

Variant 2 The Glove Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 3 The Vanguard Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 4 The Ancient Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 5 The Ascent Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection Variant 6 The Radiant Collection instead of The 2021 Train Collection

In a week, when the outcome can be sold from outcome price history

In a bad week +299.07 ₽ a worse week happens one time in ten

In a typical week +479.96 ₽ historical median

If you repeat 10 000 simulations over the outcome odds

Attempts: 10

I already have items Enter their float and the site will pick what to buy

Mix in a collection

Items of this craft's collections of the right rarity fit: The 2018 Nuke Collection and The 2021 Train Collection — and of the mixed-in collection: enter its items with float, your own or ones you want to buy. Its share in the set equals its share in the chances. Your own items are counted in the profit at market price, because you could sell them. The money needed to buy the rest is shown separately.

Third collection Add a third collection to the craft's two and see whether it gets more profitable

All splits of inputs across three collections are tried (1/1/8, 5/3/2 and the rest) and all outcome wears. The best set is shown for each collection. “Find the best” first quickly scores all collections and then calculates exactly the five best by the quick score.

Similar 3 crafts almost like this one

One of three things counts as similar. The same set with a different wear of cheap outcomes: profit and investment differ by less than 0,5%. The same nine items with a different tenth: profit differs by no more than 10%, investment by 20%. The same main half, whose outcomes make the profit, with a different filler: profit lower by no more than a quarter, investment cheaper by no more than a quarter.

Craft 2904403 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The 2021 Mirage Collection · profit 684.41₽ · invest 1 358.95₽
sells slowly rare inputs

Souvenir MP9 | Music Box (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Blaze (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077633 instead of 0.075056; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): float at most 0.006679 instead of 0.004424
Craft 2905134 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Winter Offensive Collection · profit 676.92₽ · invest 1 170.44₽
sells slowly rare inputs

PP-Bizon | Cobalt Halftone (Minimal Wear) instead of R8 Revolver | Blaze (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.074675 instead of 0.075056; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): float at most 0.004090 instead of 0.004424
Craft 2904779 · The 2018 Nuke Collection + The Graphic Design Collection · profit 633.36₽ · invest 1 252.96₽
sells slowly

XM1014 | Halftone Shift (Factory New) instead of R8 Revolver | Blaze (Factory New); P90 | Facility Negative (Minimal Wear): float at most 0.077688 instead of 0.075056; P250 | Exchanger (Factory New): float at most 0.006727 instead of 0.004424

How to read these numbers

Fees. Steam adds 15% to the seller's price, so the seller gets the listing price divided by 1,15. Multiplying by 0,85 is wrong.

The outcome can only be sold after a week. Inputs bought on Steam go into the contract right away. The outcome can also be crafted further without waiting, but Sell it is possible only after seven days. Over a week the price may change, so the amount shown remains an estimate at calculation time.

Prices are conservative. Sales are counted at the lower of the listing price and the sale price. Purchases are counted at the cheapest listing, which is a lower bound. You cannot buy ten at that price: each next listing costs more. «Check floats on Steam» shows the real purchase price.

The 2018 Nuke Collection + The 2021 Train Collection

How to build i Ways to build 5 ways: the best first, then from the most accessible. Click a tab and the numbers below are recalculated for that way.

What you get 8 outcomes

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How to build